stopbush
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Fri Jul-30-04 03:41 AM
Original message |
Kerry's Surrogates Need To Get The "Landslide" Meme Out There |
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Edited on Fri Jul-30-04 03:45 AM by stopbush
It should start slowly and build through the fall, but it should start soon.
This is NOT going to be a close election. The sense of a Kerry landslide being inevitable will not only win the WH, it has the potential of winning back the Senate. Once voters have turned the corner against * and have decided to vote *for* Kerry, the case can be made that without a sympathetic Congress, Kerry will be hamstrung. If the polls show a major shift toward Kerry, then the Dems must target Congress.
Of course, Kerry/Edwards and those nearest the top of the ticket will take the "we're taking nothing for granted...we don't read the polls" tact, but the strategy should be to lame duck * as early as possible so the people will be crying for a major correction on November 2. Anything over a 52-53% win by Kerry will be considered a landslide and a mandate.
BTW - this scenario plays right into the media biases as they believe that people don't change and history has a way of repeating itself. Ergo, * Jr losing after sky-high approval ratings is a re-run of his dad's loss in '92, while Kerry coming from behind to wipe out the heir-apparent juggernaut is reminiscent of the Howard Dean coronation/implosion. They'll see the parallels and run with it.
Comments?
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bluestateguy
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Fri Jul-30-04 03:45 AM
Response to Original message |
1. I have a series of tests to define a landslide |
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1. 400 electoral votes
2. Must win an absolute majority of the popular vote.
3. Must win the popular vote by at least 10%.
That would categorize the elections of 1964, 1972 and 1984 as landslides. I don't see either candidate winning a landslide even under the most extreme circumstances.
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elperromagico
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Fri Jul-30-04 03:51 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
2. I agree with your standards. n/t |
lapfog_1
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Fri Jul-30-04 04:11 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
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should have "coattails" as well. Meaning we pick up at least 3 or maybe 4 Senate seats, and 15 House seats. That will be difficult, but it's possible.
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Feanorcurufinwe
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Fri Jul-30-04 04:13 AM
Response to Original message |
4. Coattails, coattails coattails |
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Millions of new voters.
It is important to support Dems at every level.
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soothsayer
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Fri Jul-30-04 05:56 AM
Response to Original message |
5. No no no--landslides make people assume they DON'T have to vote |
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then they stay home and the other dude wins
ixnay on the andslidelay
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seventhson
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Fri Jul-30-04 07:02 AM
Response to Reply #5 |
6. But people like to vote for a winner |
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so this might encourage FOLKS TO DO THAT SO THEY CAN PROUDLY SAY "I VOTED FOR KERRY!"
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seventhson
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Fri Jul-30-04 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
7. and THIS poll makes it look like it could very well be a landslide: |
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LOOK AT THIS AOL POLL!!! Kerry kicking Bush's ASS!!!
Who would do a better job as president?
John Kerry 60% George Bush 40%
How would you rate Kerry's speech?
Excellent 53% Poor 18% Fair 15% Good 13%
Total Votes: 142,859
I believe that AOL pretty much reflects middle class America and so, despite it being an online poll, is very good news.
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Tue Apr 23rd 2024, 02:29 PM
Response to Original message |