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Kerry's Surrogates Need To Get The "Landslide" Meme Out There

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stopbush Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 03:41 AM
Original message
Kerry's Surrogates Need To Get The "Landslide" Meme Out There
Edited on Fri Jul-30-04 03:45 AM by stopbush
It should start slowly and build through the fall, but it should start soon.

This is NOT going to be a close election. The sense of a Kerry landslide being inevitable will not only win the WH, it has the potential of winning back the Senate. Once voters have turned the corner against * and have decided to vote *for* Kerry, the case can be made that without a sympathetic Congress, Kerry will be hamstrung. If the polls show a major shift toward Kerry, then the Dems must target Congress.

Of course, Kerry/Edwards and those nearest the top of the ticket will take the "we're taking nothing for granted...we don't read the polls" tact, but the strategy should be to lame duck * as early as possible so the people will be crying for a major correction on November 2. Anything over a 52-53% win by Kerry will be considered a landslide and a mandate.

BTW - this scenario plays right into the media biases as they believe that people don't change and history has a way of repeating itself. Ergo, * Jr losing after sky-high approval ratings is a re-run of his dad's loss in '92, while Kerry coming from behind to wipe out the heir-apparent juggernaut is reminiscent of the Howard Dean coronation/implosion. They'll see the parallels and run with it.

Comments?
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 03:45 AM
Response to Original message
1. I have a series of tests to define a landslide
1. 400 electoral votes

2. Must win an absolute majority of the popular vote.

3. Must win the popular vote by at least 10%.

That would categorize the elections of 1964, 1972 and 1984 as landslides. I don't see either candidate winning a landslide even under the most extreme circumstances.
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elperromagico Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 03:51 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. I agree with your standards. n/t
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lapfog_1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 04:11 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Let me add

should have "coattails" as well. Meaning we pick up at least
3 or maybe 4 Senate seats, and 15 House seats. That will be
difficult, but it's possible.
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Feanorcurufinwe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 04:13 AM
Response to Original message
4. Coattails, coattails coattails
Millions of new voters.

It is important to support Dems at every level.
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soothsayer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 05:56 AM
Response to Original message
5. No no no--landslides make people assume they DON'T have to vote
then they stay home and the other dude wins

ixnay on the andslidelay
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seventhson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 07:02 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. But people like to vote for a winner
so this might encourage FOLKS TO DO THAT SO THEY CAN PROUDLY SAY "I VOTED FOR KERRY!"
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seventhson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-30-04 07:08 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. and THIS poll makes it look like it could very well be a landslide:
LOOK AT THIS AOL POLL!!! Kerry kicking Bush's ASS!!!



Who would do a better job as president?

John Kerry 60%
George Bush 40%


How would you rate Kerry's speech?

Excellent 53%
Poor 18%
Fair 15%
Good 13%

Total Votes: 142,859


I believe that AOL pretty much reflects middle class America and so, despite it being an online poll, is very good news.



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