Running Ohio Poll Totals - Bush leads by 1

[TexasSissy]

From Abraham Lincoln to George W. Bush, no Republican has been elected president without carrying Ohio.

Ohio (20 E.V.)

Poll Date Bush Kerry Nader Undec. Leading

Zogby 7/23/04 48 47 1 ? Bush +1
Zogby 7/10/04 48 49 -- ? Kerry +1
Rasm. 7/9/04 46 42 -- 7 Bush +4
ARG 6/24/04 43 49 2 6 Kerry +6
Rasm. 6/2/04 46 42 ? ? Bush +4
ARG 5/13/04 42 49 ? ? Kerry +7
Gallup 5/1/04 51 46 ? ? Bush +5
Rasm. 3/16/04 41 45 n/a 6 Kerry +4


Note: In 2000 Bush won OH 50% to Gore's 46%

Just because a Republican candidate wins Ohio, it doesn't mean he is going to win the election. But Yikes! Kerry's lead in Ohio is eroding. I would feel better if Ohio would lean toward Kerry.

[JohnKleeb]

1. this is from last week

sure Kerry may be winning there now.

[lancdem]

2. Also, an American Research Group poll ending July 22

has Kerry up by 2, 47-45. I also think a Gallup poll done about that time has Kerry up 5 or 6.

[TexasSissy]

3. Thanks. Here are those exact numbers.

7/23/04 ARG poll
Bush - 45
Kerry - 47
Nader - 3
Und. - 5
LEAD KERRY +2

7/26/04 Gallup
Bush - 45
Kerry - 51
LEAD KERRY +6

(However, the Gallup poll does not include Nader, which would alter the numbers somewhat. The ARG poll DOES include Nader, though.)

This is good news, all in all!