Could Obama turn redder than red Mississippi blue? new Ras poll shows close race developing...

[book_worm]

McShame: 50%
Obama: 44%

Remember this is a state that Nixon won with 87% of the vote in '72, Reagan won with 62% in '84, and the chimp won 59-39 percent in 2004.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/mississippi/election_2008_mississippi_presidential_election

[sabbat hunter]

1. might be close

but probably will still go to McCain. It is still a heavily conservative state. you would need a near 100% turnout of the black vote for it to be close IMHO.

[book_worm]

2. Anything that causes McCain to spend time defending his base is good.

[Aloha Spirit]

6. +1

[Bucky]

3. LBJ said the Civil Rights Act would cost the Democrats the South for two generations

2008-1964 = 44 years. Not quite two whole generations. But I welcome the progress.

[blm]

4. Katrina started that transition.

I doubt it would have happened in a vacuum...for instance, had Obama run against Bush in 2004 with his exact same record of service he is running on now, would you believe Mississippi would have enough votes for him to win its electoral votes?

Candidates don't turn states red or blue - circumstances of our country and whether the corporate media examines those circumstances and those lawmakers and candidates involved with integrity is a greater indicator of how a state will vote.

[ShortnFiery]

5. That's because his Opponent who's been behind since Feb is still attacking him.

:thumbsdown:

Obama can't focus on McCain until self-righteous HRC bows out of the race.

[book_worm]

7. that's a big part of the problem. We got to get Hillary out so Obama can focus soley on McCain.

[cloudythescribbler]

8. don't forget, even if McCain wins MS, & various deep south states said to be possibly in play ...

the much changed results (ie the margin of victory) is VERY important in impacting what happens "down the ticket". This is in particular why the Democratic nominee can have a HUGE political impact even on solidly red states that the GOP will surely carry at the presidential level.

Some examples -- Obama is running WELL ahead of where Democrats usually do in such states as Montana, North Dakota, South Carolina, and Indiana. Even assuming that the GOP carries ALL of those states in the GE (which is pretty damn likely), Obama's strength could significantly impact OTHER elections in those states.