South Dakota poll: Obama led by 12% in April ... link

[Alhena]

http://www.topnews.in/usa/south-dakota-polls-obama-leads-clinton-2445

Obama led in both March and April polls by a healthy margin. Which would lead one to be very skeptical of the ARG poll showing Hillary leading by 26 points now. The dynamics of the race have not changed that much since April, judging by other polls.

[anonymous171]

1. 26% shift is way too huge for this short a time period.

[rodeodance]

2. Clinton 60%, Obama 34% SD

June 2, 2008 - South Dakota Democratic Primary Preference
South Dakota
Democrats May 31-June 1
Clinton 60%
Obama 34%
Undecided 6%



http://americanresearchgroup.com/

Hillary Clinton leads Barack Obama 56% to 39% among men (46% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, Clinton leads 63% to 29%.

Clinton leads 57% to 38% among voters age 18 to 49 (46% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Clinton leads 63% to 30% among voters age 50 and older.

11% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 27% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.

For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.

[rodeodance]

3. Clinton 44%. Obama 48%, Undecided 8% MT

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

June 2, 2008 - Montana Democratic Primary Preference
Montana
Democrats May 31-June 1
Clinton 44%
Obama 48%
Undecided 8%

Barack Obama leads Hillary Clinton 56% to 35% among men (45% of likely Democratic primary voters). Among women, Clinton leads 52% to 41%.

Obama leads 49% to 45% among voters age 18 to 49 (44% of likely Democratic primary voters) and Obama leads 48% to 43% among voters age 50 and older.

26% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Hillary Clinton in the primary and 15% of likely Democratic primary voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the primary.

For details, click on the R or D for each state in the column on the left under 2008 Presidential Polls.