Do we know as a fact that Obama can't win in the GE?

[CatsDogsBabies]

The GE is in November, yet many people post on here with absolute certainty that Obama cannot win the GE. I don't get it. SOmeone responded to my previous post and suggested that censoring this "fact" is not good for the deocratic party. Isn't the idea that the deocratic candidate has a good chance in the GE because democrats support their candidate, even if this candidate is not their first choice. Wouldn't this be the better course (supporting the candidate), rather than saying over and over again that he can't win.

[MichiganVote]

1. He'll win. BUT, they'll cheat, as usual.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

17. And he'll still win.

[MichiganVote]

18. We need a big gap this time RUMMY. Let's make it happen.

[Oleladylib]

2. It's a downhill slide after tomorrow..

saying don't be mean to my fella and other condescending things to repubs..will only make things worse.

[CatsDogsBabies]

11. ???

It is one thingto be attacked by republicans, but really strange to see democrats attacking their own candidate. Does saying it is a downhill slide mean that once Obama has the nomination, things will be easier for him? If so, I think this is true - great to be able to finally focus on the real opponent!

[Window]

19. Oh, for God's sake. Give it a break.

[panader0]

3. Are you nutz? Obama will overwhelm mccain in the GE`

My prediction.

[MadBadger]

4. According to electoral-vote, as of right now, he wins

Though the GE isnt until November, if he wins now, he can win in November.

[Dems4HowardDean]

5. OBAMA wins in a landslide!!

[derby378]

6. Oh, he can win this thing...

If he doesn't take the White House, Teheran will become a smoking crater. We cannot have that.

[Danger Mouse]

7. McCain is very weak.

[CatsDogsBabies]

24. I agree McCain is weak

I am going to vote Obama, and I think he will win the GE

[NorthCarolina]

25. I think McCain was a sacrificial lamb for this election cycle

he's so "not on the ball" that as soon as this Dem primary is wrapped up, Obama will annihilate him. So many McCain "misspeaks", so little time.

[Qutzupalotl]

8. Kinda makes you question the motives

of people saying over and over that Obama can't win.

It's *almost* like they're trying to depress turnout. ;)

[Window]

20. Yeah, a few real bitter fuckers.

[newmajority]

9. Obama will beat McCain easily as it is

And depending on the Bob Barr factor, it could be an Obamalition landslide!! :kick: :bounce: :woohoo:

[RC]

10. Don't listen to the rightwingnuts among us.

Obama will be our next President. People are tired of the corruption, greed, crime, lies and the wars of the republicans. That is why Hillary lost.

[americanstranger]

12. I remember another Dem that had 'electability' issues...

...served two terms, as I remember it.

Isn't he married to someone in this campaign? ;)

- as

[Kutjara]

Don't worry about the "can't win" posters.

They're just the visible face of the racist wing of the Democratic Party. They dress their racism up as "other people won't vote for a black candidate," but it's really their own prejudice they're projecting. They can't come right out and say "blacks scare me" so they pretend to be "concerned" about Obama's "electability." It's pitiful, really.

[alcibiades_mystery]

13. You don't even know what a FACT is

:rofl:

[CatsDogsBabies]

23. I get it - not true so not a FACT

[alcibiades_mystery]

26. I give up

I really do.

[anigbrowl]

14. It's just a propaganda trick.

Repeat it as fact, a few idiots will believe it.

[Dems4HowardDean]

15. You must have confused DU with Freerepublic.com

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

16. Hell, all he has to do is run as "The Not a Republican".

[tigereye]

21. people always say that kind of thing during campaigns...

why don't people start saying McCain can't win (he's a pretty weak candidate), instead of saying it about our own candidates?


I've never understood that, actually.

[Douglas Carpenter]

22. here is Rasmussen's very conservative take on the matter

"Still, Democrats lead in states with 200 Electoral Votes while the GOP has the advantage in states with 189. When “leaners” are included, the Democrats enjoy a 260-240 Electoral College lead (see summary of recent state-by-state results). Data from Rasmussen Markets gives Democrats a 61.0% chance of winning the White House in November (results are updated on a 24/7 basis by market participants). "

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

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Even Fox News acknowledges that Sen. Obama is already stronger than McCain in the Electoral College



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Even the financial markets recognize that Sen. Obama will likely win in November:

Intrade Prediction Markets: http://www.intrade.com / (The Rasmussen Market figures are pretty much in the same ball park: http://markets.rasmussenreports.com/ )



Intrade Prediction Market gives a 61.5% to 63.4% chance that the Democrats will win the White House in November

Intrade Prediction Market gives a 57.5% to 57.6%chance that Barak Obama will be elected President in November

Intrade Prediction Market gives a 5.8% to 5.9% chance that Hillary Clinton will be elected President in November

Intrade Prediction Market gives a 37.6% to 37.7% chance that John McCain will be elected President in November

Intrade Prediction Market gives a 37.0% to 38.7% chance the Republicans will win the White House in November


Intrade Prediction Markets gives Hillary Clinton 83% to 83.9% chance of dropping out of 2008 Presidential race on/before 30 Jun 2008 (This is up 14.8%)

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