Obama now up by 3 in new Michigan poll

[book_worm]

before you say only three!? remember that Kerry won Michigan by 51-48 in 2004.

The latest Rasmussen Reports poll in Michigan shows Barack Obama attracting 45% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. This is the fourth poll in Michigan since McCain wrapped up the Republican nomination and all four have found the candidates within three points of each other. In both May and late-March McCain held a statistically insignificant one-point lead.

Obama has reduced the gap among male voters and now trails McCain by eleven percentage points among men. That’s down from a nineteen point deficit last month. Obama leads by thirteen among women, a figure that has changed little. McCain is supported by 83% of Republicans while Obama currently gets the vote from 74% of Democrats. In our previous survey, those numbers were 84% and 70% respectively. McCain now leads by five points among Michigan’s unaffiliated voters, down from a thirteen point lead in May.

Obama has a solid lead among voters under 30, but older voters tend to be fairly evenly divided.

The current survey was taken six days after Obama clinched the Democratic Presidential Nomination. During that time, he has enjoyed a modest bounce nationally in the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

McCain is viewed favorably by 58% of the state’s voters,. Obama by 54%. For both candidates, those figures reflect a four-point improvement compared to a month ago. As has been seen in other polling throughout the country, opinions are more firmly held about Obama. Thirty percent (30%) have a Very Favorable opinion of the Democratic nominee while 24% hold a Very Unfavorable opinion. For McCain, those number are 18% Very Favorable and 16% Very Unfavorable.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/michigan/election_2008_michigan_presidential_election

[thewiseguy]

1. We just have to win Michigan.

[Barack_America]

4. We will.

No where in this country is the economy worse.

Michigan is dying because of bad trade deals, corporate tax cuts and a shitty energy policy.

[book_worm]

5. there is more room for growth for Obama in MI than McCain

[TahitiNut]

9. It'll take more than merely wishing.

The folks in this state aren't known for taking well to being disrespected. Unless there's a vigorous campaign in this state, it'll vote GOP. If it's a McCain/Romney ticket, the Democrats will have to work hard.

[Starbucks Anarchist]

2. If Obama gets all the Kerry states, what else did we need?

Was it IA, NM and VA, or was it IA, NM and CO? Or am I missing a state or two?

[book_worm]

7. I think a combination of Iowa Colorado and New Mexico would do it

and Virginia for extra measure.

[Starbucks Anarchist]

8. Thanks.

And IA and NM had a 10,000 and 5,000 vote difference, didn't they?

[still_one]

3. All I know is that this election has never been more clear on the differences

between Obama and mccain

The Iraq War
Supreme Court Judges
Gender Rights
Civil Rights
High cost of food and energy
Healthcare
Social Security
Medicare
Environment
Jobs

After 8 years of bush, and what has become of the American Auto worker, I have every reason to believe that this lead will only grow larger

[TexasObserver]

6. Michigan will vote for Obama. I think he'll win it by 5 or more.