What Will Be The Margin Of Victory In 2008

[THUNDER HANDS]

In your opinion, how many points will separate the winner from the loser in this election?

Will it be 51-49, 52-48, 55-45, what does your crystal ball tell you?

[mikelgb]

1. in terms of pop vote or EC %?

[THUNDER HANDS]

2. popular vote

i don't think the electoral college goes by percentage. It's just a race to 270.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

3. Ask Me In September

~

[THUNDER HANDS]

6. no, you have to make a guess NOW

i could ask you in September, but your guess will probably be more accurate now than then.

[mikelgb]

4. 8 is great

[newmajority]

5. In an honest election, it would be an Obama landslide.

In a DIEBOLD environment, we need the turnout to overwhelm the theft.

[anonymous171]

7. I'm thinking more like Bill Clinton in '92

[THUNDER HANDS]

9. you think Barr is going to get Perot-like numbers?

really?

[MrCoffee]

8. 8 points in the popular vote.

[L0oniX]

10. Even Alfred E. Neman could beat McLame.

[dems_rightnow]

11. The country's too polarized....

... for a massive popular vote victory, though I expect it will be a "comfortable" 7-8%. But an electoral landslide could happen.

In '68 Nixon won the popular vote by less than 1%, but took the electoral college by 56%-36%. That's a wide disparity. We could see another wide disparity in Obama's favor this year- in fact, I predict it.

[Greyskye]

12. I'll put $10 on a 12+ point spread

I can dream, right? :toast:

[quakerboy]

13. Before or after tampering?

[Carrieyazel]

14. To those who said 8 points or more, are you all playing with a full deck?

That isn't happening no matter what.