My electoral scenario - share yours

[mvd]

I hope mine comes true!

It's here:

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=110100010111111011111000111110110011001001000000010

[WeDidIt]

1. I want to see McCain drop below 200

That would bring great joy to my life, and with Barr on the ballot, it just might happen.

[mvd]

4. Very possible!

I was being cautious and still thought my map is very doable..

[mohc]

2. Throw in Nevada

And that is pretty much what I see

[PBS Poll-435]

3. Alright...

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=010100010111001011111010111110100000000000000000010



J/K



:P

[rucky]

5. We must win OH & PA: 249-289

and can afford to lose MO, CO, NC & VA

if we lose OH or PA, we have to win 2 of the others.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=110100010111111011111010111110100000000001000000010

[Drunken Irishman]

6. My prediction!

I believe Obama can switch Florida, Indiana and Montana, but I'll be nice and give them to McCain. :)

[woolldog]

7. Here's mine

[ram2008]

8. Obama Landslide Scenario

If the election were a landslide for Obama, this is how I think the map will look.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=111110010111111011111110111110110011001001000000111

You heard it here first!

[deadmessengers]

19. Just out of curiosity, why ND?

I've seen ND going blue in a couple of places now, but for the life of me I can't figure out why. Mind sharing your reasoning?

[ram2008]

22. SurveyUSA had him ahead

According to pollster there are only 2 polls out for North Dakota. The first one is SurveyUSA which has him up by 4 with 12 undecided. The second one is Dakota Wesleyan which has him down by 4 with 12 undecided.

Basically its a tie from the data we have out now.

With his strong performance in the North Dakota caucus and his organization in small states, I think he can pull out a victory if he gets enough people out to the polls. He tends to perform well in western states. This is of course in a hypothetical landslide scenario.

[PM7nj]

24. One ND poll had him up 4, another down 6.

http://www.pollster.com/08-ND-Pres-GE-MvO.php

There have been no polls since early April though.

[Hawkeye-X]

25. Here's mine

I left out the extremist states out there.

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=111110010111111011111110111110110011001001000000111

I actually predict Obama 420, McCain 50 because of Nebraska's split #'s.

[mvd]

31. With the right VP, MT could be in play

If polls are close in ND, more :bounce:!

[MadBadger]

9. As of Right now, I have Obama beating McCain 318-220

I have Obama getting 1 electoral vote out of NEbraska and McCain getting 4.

[woolldog]

10. you can split the vote in NE if you like.

See that button off the coast of Florida that says "split ME / NE"? Press it.

[MadBadger]

14. Thanks, I fixed it

[Robbins]

32. Your sceniro

If the polls were to stay where they are now your sceniro would come to pass.Inless Barr can throw some states to Obama this Is looking at the most likely one.

[Abacus]

11. Same as yours, except NC

and one EV from Nebraska: 318-220

[ieoeja]

12. 401-137

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=111101011111111111111111111110110111001001001001011

[Abacus]

13. As long as we're being optimistic

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111111

[book_worm]

15. Idaho and Utah to Obama?

[deadmessengers]

18. Someone's been hitting the extra-crispy crack n/t

[KOBUK]

28. This will happen just when ?

Hell freezes over !

[MadBadger]

20. If Obama were to win Utah and Idaho, he'd definitely win Florida.

[Zynx]

27. Exactly. I always tell people states don't vote in isolation. If you win a +40% Republican state

you have already won every +10 or +20% Republican state too.

[SoCalDem]

16. So many options..but my sig has the minimalist version

[deadmessengers]

17. Here's mine - a little less optimistic

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=110100010111011011111010101110110010001001000000000

Unfortunately, I can't help but believe that the damage from the primary nonsense in MI & Florida will prove to be irreparable in this election cycle, so I have both those states going red.

[arewenotdemo]

21. What happens in the case of a 269-269 tie?

[deadmessengers]

33. It goes to the House of Representatives & Senate

The Twelfth Amendment covers this: The House of Representatives would choose the President, and the Senate would choose the Vice President. The vote would be somewhat unusual in that the votes would be cast and counted by state delegations, not individual members - meaning that tiny states like Wyoming would get as much weight in the Presidential vote as California, Texas, and New York.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twelfth_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution

[27inCali]

23. just going off of latest poll numbers, a realistic possibility:

all the Kerry States plus Iowa, Ohio, Colorado.


http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=1101000101111110111110001111101100000000000000

McCain is in deep trouble.

I even think this is possible given the strength of our voter registration drives:

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=11111001011111101111111011111011001100100101000

it's ours if we really want it.

[Zynx]

26. I actually would not modify this much. I think it's fair.

[S_E_Fudd]

29. Here ya go...a bit more conservtaive than others probably

http://www.latimes.com/news/politics/la-votemap,0,2338623.htmlstory?usergen=110100010111011011111000111110110000000001000000010

[phrigndumass]

30. (whistling) ...

Cuba gets one of Florida's half-votes for McCain! It'll be that close! :rofl:





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