Kansas Internal Polling: Mcmore of the same (45), Obama (41)

[malik flavors]

by: James L.
Thu Jun 12, 2008 at 10:15 PM EDT

Daily Kos diarist osagecokansasdem brings word of a new internal poll for Democrat Jim Slattery in Kansas:
Cooper & Secrest for Jim Slattery (6/5-8, likely voters):


Jim Slattery (D): 36
Pat Roberts (R-inc): 48
Undecided: 16
(MoE: ±3.5%)
That twelve point margin is a constant in every poll of this race that we've seen so far (Rasmussen in May and Research 2000 last week), so I think we can believe these numbers.

With only 56% name recognition, Slattery does have some room to grow, and Roberts' numbers are decidedly mediocre: a 47/43 job performance rating and a 48/29 favorability score. Even more startling is the generic Senate ballot, where the GOP is basically tied with the Democrats at 41-40. The numbers certainly suggest that while this is an uphill fight, Slattery has something to work with.

In the presidential race, the poll finds Obama trailing McCain by an eye-popping 45-41 margin in the state. In 2004, Bush smacked Kerry by 62-37 here.

http://www.swingstateproject.com/showDiary.do?diaryId=2227

[Bullet1987]

1. I don't believe it...but maybe Kathleen could have an impact here

[slinkerwink]

2. this certainly puts Sebelius into play

[Colobo]

3. Kathy Sebelius can help us there!

[jefferson_dem]

4. Wow. If Kansas is in the lower single-digits, McSameSux is in deep dookie.

Bwhahahahahah...

[YOY]

5. When Utah is, he'll be up to his nose in it.

n/t

[Kahuna]

27. Yeppers. Looks like the repukes are going to have to spend a lot of

money defending red states. :applause:

[Alter Ego]

6. Just confuses me as to why Texas is still in the Gramps column.

[muryan]

9. If I'm not mistaken

Texas is the state where Bush enjoys his highest approval ratings, for whatever reason.

[Alter Ego]

11. Fucking A.

First the disappointing news about Noriega, then this.

Goddamn it, Texas, get it together.

[DangerousRhythm]

12. What disappointing news?

Damn!

[Alter Ego]

13. New Rasmussen poll.

Senator Box Turtle Sex: 52%
Noriega: 35%

[rox63]

16. Senator Box Turtle Sex?

:spray: :rofl:

[DangerousRhythm]

24. Oh no!

That sucks. :(

[PBS Poll-435]

20. Hey. We got five months.

Incumbent with shitty approval rating vs. Central American drug lord.

What did you think the poll was going to say.

Give RICK Noriega some time to get known.

[Alter Ego]

23. But he was polling only like 5 points back from Man-on-Turtle a month ago!

And yes--I forgot his first name. Thanks.

[Donkey_Punch_Dubya]

14. Not here in Austin!

Bush has about a 13% approval in Austin as far as I can tell. There were bumper stickers on cars in 2005 saying "IS IT 2008 YET?".

But this state is a lost cause for this election. Austin and the Rio Grande valley are the only counties that aren't red.

[MadBadger]

7. Fire up the Sebelius talk.

[oldpol]

15. this is awesome for O. anything is possible if a hard core red state like this is in play

even if he does have family ties there. O/Kathleen in 2008!

[scheming daemons]

8. "What's the matter with Kansas?" Soon...maybe nothing.

[oldpol]

17. man this is tremendous, I never thought I would see the day Kansas goes blue

It has to be at least 40 years + since it last happened

[TheWraith]

18. 44 years, to be exact. The last Dem to take Kansas was in 1964.

In the 44-state whipping of Goldwater. Before that it was FDR in 1932 and 1936.

[oldpol]

19. and only because Alf Landon was running in the latter election

and Charles Curtis in the former?

[TheWraith]

21. Landon and Hoover, actually. nt

[Barack_America]

10. Pick Tim Kaine as VP and we can take that state.

I can feel it.

[demokatgurrl]

22. When was the last time Dems won Kansas? n/t

[oldpol]

29. Lyndon Johnson in 1964 and Alf Landon before that

its been a while!

[mystieus]

25. Put Sebelius on the ticket and Kansas is ours!

[oldpol]

32. your next veep!

[dems_rightnow]

26. That's pretty much at odds

.... with every other poll conducted in Kansas. Granted, Kansas doesn't get polled a lot, because the outcome isn't really in doubt. I'd certainly pin my hopes in states that can be won. And there are a bunch of them!

[ccharles000]

28. lovely

[Carrieyazel]

30. Obama has about as much chance to win Kansas as McCain does to win New Jersey

It isn't happening, and a single poll shouldn't be cause for going wild.

[oldpol]

31. O's mom is from El Dorado

which is close to a major population center in Wichita, plus most of the eastern half of the state is purple