POLL: Obama's lead slipping in Minnesota

[question everything]

New poll numbers show Barack Obama’s lead over Johon McCain slipping among Minnesota voters.

The exclusive 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS/SURVEY USA Poll shows Obama holding a one-point lead over McCain, with the margin of error at a statistical dead heat Tuesday.

Just two weeks ago, Obama held a five-point lead in Minnesota.

Nationally, it’s a slightly different story: A new ABC News poll has Obama ahead of McCain 48 to 42-percent.

http://vote.kstp.com/article/stories/S481153.shtml?cat=10588

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Few days ago I commented on how McCain is running an effective ad in Minnesota and, perhaps, in other "battle ground states." He emphasizes his roots, the service in the armed forces that has been going for three generations in his family. No doubt, this intends to draw a contrast with Obama who does not have much of roots - and this may matter for voters who do value such things.

No Obama ads to be found so I suspect that this may be the reason for the recent poll.

Of course, there are a little more than four months to election day.

[Skittles]

1. please define "roots" n/t

[Barack_America]

2. Inherited privilege?

That definition certainly seems to apply in this case.

[question everything]

4. For the ones for whom it matters

trace their families if not to the Mayflower at least to the Civil War.

Where they can go to a small town and point to a house built by their great grandfather. Where both Hillary and Edwards were talking about their "blue collar" background.

As I say, this should not matter and, of course, there are millions who came to this country bound and sold for slavery.

But this is a line that McCain is pushing, that can contrast him with Obama who, on his father side is "only" first generation American.

For many voters this matters.

[Barack_America]

8. So Obama's visiting the house in Indiana that his great-great-grandfather built...

(and remains in his family to this day) means nothing?

That's not roots?

[Skittles]

10. I'm first generation American on one side, 3rd on the other

I forgot that ignorant American voters limit their definition of what it means to be an American

[Fridays Child]

13. Seemingly benign terms like "roots," "heritage," "full-blooded," "DNA," and so on...

...provide plausible deniability to those who are too cowardly to just come forward and declare their racism. Did you read http://www.orlandosentinel.com/news/opinion/columnists/orl-parker1408may14,0,3577316,print.column">this article? It was published several weeks ago and, when I read it, I could not believe that such thinly-veiled bigotry was allowed to stain the opinion page of my local newspaper.

[Skittles]

14. oh yeah, I read that one

I swear my jaw dropped open when I read it - then I fired off some very heated emails

[TeamJordan23]

3. This poll looks like an outlier.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/mn/minnesota_mccain_vs_obama-550.html

[question everything]

5. Thanks, interesting

Still, would be nice to see some Obama ads.

[Sans Givingadamn]

11. Yet no one says the PPP Ohio poll looks like an outlier

The one showing Obama with a double digit lead there over McCain.

[TeamJordan23]

12. Well RCP average is Obama up nearly 4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/oh/ohio_mccain_vs_obama-400.html

Only one poll has been conducted in June.

[FrenchieCat]

6. This is who you remind me of everytime I see your name posting.....

[hokies4ever]

7. "likely voters"

Others have posted about this poll. I think it's important to note that it is of "likely voters." This most likely won't include any of the first-time voters that Obama has brought into the fold.

[TheDonkey]

9. I haven't heard about any Obama ads. I wondering what the wait is. McCain has been showing plenty

and the MSM is giving that dumb ad free air-time as well.

[muryan]

15. This poll is bunk

MN is blue

[earthlover]

17. Twin Cities and Iron Range are blue, the rest of MN is solidly red

[lojasmo]

25. Bull.

The first CD is blue (bottom fifth of the state) 6 of 8 of our congresspersons are democrats.

Please stop the lies.

[silverojo]

16. Minnesota is so disappointing

Used to be a solidly Democratic state, but that's changing. :(

[book_worm]

19. It was close in 2000 and 2004, too.

[lojasmo]

26. No it isn't.

[JI7]

18. be careful, sometimes Republicans talk up some flawed polls

in order for the Democrats to spend money in a state they are already winning in.

of course Obama has to consider everything. and he has enough that he would be able to spend there while still having enough.

the Republicans are also having their convention there so Mccain might go up a bit . but i can't see Mccain winning there.

[jakem]

20. i spent 6 years in MN, and can't imagine how the state would go red for McC*nt...

anyone from MN have an opinion on this?

[Buzz Clik]

21. sigh.... When is the Democratic Convention? The Republican Convention?

[calmblueocean]

22. Don't worry about Minnesota. This is Obama country.

In the end, it all comes down to turnout, and Obama supporters are going to turn out in far greater numbers in this state than McCain's people.

[goldcanyonaz]

23. Way to early for anyone to be winning or losing a state at this point

[lojasmo]

24. This is a crappy SUSA robocall outlier.

It also puts Coleman 10% over Franken....and over 50%...which NO POLL has put him in over a year.

It's B.S. Thanks for posting here. Also, thanks for your concern. Obama is going to CREAM McCain in Minnesota.