Obama leads McCain, 47% to 42%, with 12% saying they prefer someone else or are not yet sure about their selection in the race, the poll shows. He holds a double-digit lead among women, while McCain holds a six-point lead among men. Both candidates are winning about four of every five voters from their own party, but Obama enjoys a substantial 22-point lead among political independents.
Obama wins almost all of the support from African American voters, while McCain leads by a 48% to 38% margin over Obama among white voters. Among Hispanics, Obama leads with 54% support, compared to 44% support for McCain.
The live operator telephone survey was conducted June 12-14, 2008, and included 1,113 likely voters nationwide. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.0 percentage points.
As he did in his race against Clinton in primary contests earlier this year, Obama leads among voters under the age of 35, while McCain leads among voters age 55 to 69, and the two are deadlocked among voters age 70 and older. They are essentially deadlocked in that all-important age demographic of voters 35 to 54 – Obama wins 46% support to McCain’s 43% support. This age cohort is important because it represents the largest bloc of voters and because those voters, perhaps more than any other age group, are facing first-hand many if not most of the key issues confronting the nation, including food and transportation costs, education and health care concerns, retirement anxiety, and those dealing with the care of aging parents.
This was a group that was decisive in the Democratic Party primary season.
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