New polls from ARG: Obama with significant leads in Florida and New Hampshire!!!!

Politics_Guy25

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Wed Jun-18-08 10:32 AM
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New polls from ARG: Obama with significant leads in Florida and New Hampshire!!!!

:)

Here is the pollster's write-up located at http://www.americanresearchgroup.com

June 18, 2008 - Florida General Election Preference

Florida
Likely voters June 13-17

McCain 44%
Obama 49%
Undecided 7%

Sample size: 600 likely voters
Sample dates: June 13-17, 2008
Question wording: If the general election were being held today between John McCain, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - McCain or Obama? (names rotated)

Barack Obama leads John McCain 77% to 16% among Democrats (43% of likely voters). McCain leads Obama 75% to 18% among Republicans (38% of likely voters). And Obama leads McCain 47% to 43% among independent voters (19% of likely voters).

Obama leads McCain 48% to 46% among men (47% of likely voters). Among women, Obama leads 49% to 43%.

McCain leads Obama 48% to 45% among white voters (73% of likely voters). Obama leads McCain 88% to 8% among African American voters (11% of likely voters). And McCain leads Obama 50% to 41% among Hispanic voters (16% of likely voters).

Obama leads McCain 52% to 42% among voters age 18 to 49 (45% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (55% of likely voters), Obama and McCain are tied at 46% each.

35% of likely voters say they would never vote for John McCain in the general election and 46% of likely voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the general election.

When Bill Nelson and Charlie Crist are placed on the same ballot as possible vice presidential running mates, McCain leads Obama 43% to 42%, with 15% undecided.

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June 18, 2008 - New Hampshire General Election Preference

New Hampshire
Likely voters June 13-17

McCain 39%
Obama 51%
Undecided 10%

Sample size: 600 likely voters
Sample dates: June 13-17, 2008
Question wording: If the general election were being held today between John McCain, the Republican, and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for whom would you vote - McCain or Obama? (names rotated)

Barack Obama leads John McCain 89% to 5% among Democrats (31% of likely voters). McCain leads Obama 74% to 10% among Republicans (31% of likely voters). And Obama leads McCain 53% to 38% among independent voters (38% of likely voters).

Obama leads McCain 48% to 47% among men (48% of likely voters). Among women, Obama leads 54% to 32%.

Obama leads McCain 48% to 41% among voters age 18 to 49 (47% of likely voters). Among voters age 50 and older (55% of likely voters),Obama leads McCain 53% to 37%.

43% of likely voters say they would never vote for John McCain in the general election and 25% of likely voters say they would never vote for Barack Obama in the general election.

In the race for US Senate in New Hampshire, Jeanne Shaheen leads John Sununu 54% to 40%, with 6% undecided. Shaheen leads Sununu 53% to 38% among independent (undeclared) voters.

In the race for Governor of New Hampshire, John Lynch leads Joseph Kenney 65% to 21%, with 14% undecided. Kenney leads Lynch 46% to 38% among registered Republicans. Lynch leads Kenney 62% to 16% among independent (undeclared) voters.