Obama needs just 10% more Dem voters under 30 to but Iowa and NM in the blue column

[wyldwolf]

Sen. Barack Obama "could make major gains in at least nine states the Democratic ticket lost in 2004 if he can achieve a relatively modest increase in turnout among young and African-American voters," according to a must-read Chicago Tribune analysis of voting data.

"That potential helps explain why the Obama campaign chose to forgo federal funding and also why it is engaged in a massive voter registration drive. With its unprecedented resources, the campaign can fund an array of specific targeting operations, and Obama exploited early versions of those to great success during the primary campaign."

Example: "If Obama could inspire just 10 percent more Democratic voters under 30 to go to the polls than did four years ago, that alone could be enough to switch Iowa and New Mexico from red to blue."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/06/25/voter_drive_could_put_9_states_in_play.html

[dflprincess]

1. If he wants to inspire anybody he'd best not start acting like the typical politician.

Doing things like moving to the center and talking about compromise when it comes to FISA isn't going to convince anyone he's the "change" candidate. I'd say he's probably got a better chance of turning off many of the under 30s who got involved because they believed him during the primaries.

[mrreowwr_kittty]

6. Only really politically active under-30s are concerned about things like FISA

It's too bad, but over the past decades the level of civics education in this country has gotten abyssmal, and deliberately so. I've seen surveys where the majority of young people think it's okay for the government to tell journalists what to print. :wow:

The young people I'm talking to are very worried about the economy and that will bring them out for Obama.

[MattNC]

2. I have no doubt

he'll flip Iowa and New Mexico. None at all.

[DU9598]

5. Swing state

I love to see that Iowa gets the attention as a swing state from Obama, but I am just not seeing it. There is a blue tidal wave coming to Iowa this fall. No doubt about it.

[nevergiveup]

3. In my own little world

I know at least 10 newly registered voters who will vote for Obama. Three of them registered to vote for Hillary. At this point things are looking good.

[CakeGrrl]

4. Simple. McCain = "WWIII" = "DRAFT" n/t

[depakid]

7. Bottom line is turnout

Historically, the youth vote has disappointed- and while it seems to be more charged up this year than most, turnout could still be dampened by repeated sell outs to the right (like support for the FISA travesty).