June 26, 2008 - Obama Leads McCain In Four Battleground States
Quinnipiac University/Wall Street Journal/ Washingtonpost.Com Poll Finds --- COLORADO: Obama 49 - McCain 44 MICHIGAN: Obama 48 - McCain 42 MINNESOTA: Obama 54 - McCain 37 WISCONSIN: Obama 52 - McCain 39
An emerging Democratic coalition of women, minorities and younger voters is propelling Illinois Sen. Barack Obama to leads of five to 17 percentage points over Arizona Sen. John McCain among likely voters in the battleground states of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin, according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac University polls, conducted in partnership with The Wall Street Journal and washingtonpost.com and released today.
Sen. McCain's lead among white voters in Colorado and Michigan cuts the gap to single digits, but doesn't offset Sen. Obama's strength among other groups. The Democrat also leads by eight to 21 percentage points among independent voters in each state. Overall results show:
Colorado: Obama leads McCain 49 - 44 percent, including 51 - 39 percent among independent voters;
Michigan: Obama tops McCain 48 - 42 percent, with 46 - 38 percent among independents;
Minnesota: Obama buries McCain 54 - 37 percent, and 54 - 33 percent with independents;
Wisconsin: Obama leads McCain 52 - 39 percent, and 50 - 37 percent with independents.
Democrats would like Obama to pick Sen. Hillary Clinton as his running mate, but voters overall reject the idea. Independent voters oppose Sen. Clinton by 16 to 29 percentage points.
"November can't get here soon enough for Sen. Barack Obama. He has a lead everywhere, and if nothing changes between now and November he will make history," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
"But Sen. Obama should not be picking out the drapes for the Oval Office just yet. His lead nationally, and double digits in some key states, is not hugely different from where Sen. John Kerry stood four years ago at this point in the campaign," Brown added.
"At this point, Sen. Obama has assembled what Democrats see as their victory coalition for the future: young people, racial minorities and women, while remaining competitive - and in some places ahead - among men and whites.
"There is a clear consensus among voters in all of these states that they don't want Sen. Hillary Clinton as vice president and that they see her as a liability for Obama, not an asset."
President Bush's approval ratings are:
31 - 63 percent in Colorado;
26 - 67 percent in Michigan;
24 - 70 percent in Minnesota;
27 - 67 percent in Wisconsin.
More:
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x4141.xml?ReleaseID=1188