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I am so sick and tired of hearing the Republican nyah-nyah: we haven't been attacked in 7 years so Bush et. al. deserve credit for protecting us,
NO THEY DON'T!!!
and we need to go naked through airport screeners and give up civil liberties and not ask questions and do as your told and pay no attention to the man behind the curtain and...
NO WE DON'T!!
Here's their argument:
The U.S. has not been attacked on its own soil in 7 years. Bushco has implemented the Patriot Act, the FISA act, invaded Iraq, etc., etc. Therefore, these policies have protected the U.S. from a terrorist attack and Bush should get credit.
What's wrong with this argument? Several things:
1) Post Hoc, Ergo Propter Hoc (argument by coincidence): Just because two things occur one after the other doesn't mean the first caused the latter.
2) Multiple Causes: There may be other reasons why there has been no attack on the U.S. soil. If I recall correctly, according to Imperial Hubris, our invasion of Iraq was one of the goals of 9/11, as is our current emphasis on fear.
3) The Threat is Greater Than the Execution: This is a chess term. It means, essentially, that the longer you can maintain the tension, keep your opponent worrying about a threat, the more powerful your position becomes. (It's the boogeyman.) So Al Qaeda doesn't need to attack us; it's more effective not to.
There are probably other causal fallacies. In Thank You For Arguing (a great book), Jay Heinrichs calls the "If we pull out now, our soldiers will have died in vain" line "Nixon's Trick."
So what's the proper response?
Fox/Fake News interviewer: How many times have we been attacked in the last 7.5 years? Answer: How is that relevant (to a discussion of, say, impeachable offenses or erroneous policy)? Fox/Fake News interviewer: Well, don't you think Bush deserves some credit for the fact we haven't been attacked? Answer: No. Fox/Fake News interviewer: Why not? Answer: Because there's no proof that any thing he's done - illegal wiretaps, outing a CIA agent, lying us into war - has in fact prevented an attack. Fox/Fake News interviewer: What about all the attacks we don't know about? Answer: That's a fallacy, an argument from ignorance. Rather appropriate, coming from you.
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