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What's with the Gallup Daily Tracking (tied at 44) unlike most other polls

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CreekDog Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-29-08 09:58 AM
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What's with the Gallup Daily Tracking (tied at 44) unlike most other polls
Rasmussen daily tracking Obama 47 McPainkillers 40
Time Obama 47 Mc43 43
Times/Bloomberg Obama 49 McCainv2 37
Franklin & Marshall/Hearst-Argyle Obama 42 McClaims 36
Newsweek Obama 51 McDefault 36
USA Today/Gallup (non daily tracking) Obama 50 McCranky 44
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Sensitivity Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-29-08 10:01 AM
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1. Must be using a special "weighting" in their model. If gallup assumptions are right, then others
are all off becuase the don't weitht with this factor.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Jun-29-08 10:08 AM
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2. I don't particularly trust most tracking polls.
One thing I learned from 2004 is that you don't cherry pick polls. Look at the body of evidence. The body of evidence in 2004 had Bush ahead between 1 and 6 points. http://pollingreport.com/2004.htm

If Obama is ahead in every poll and tied in one, that means he's ahead.
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