Zogby: Obama leads 44% to 38% Nationwide as Barr Takes 6% EC: O-273!

[tekisui]

UTICA, New York – As the race for President passes the Independence Day holiday and heads toward the dog days of summer, Sen. Barack Obama holds a 44% to 38% lead over Sen. John McCain in the horserace contest, but also leads by a substantial margin in a state-by-state Electoral College tally, a new Zogby Interactive poll shows.

The extensive national poll of of 46,274 likely voters also shows Libertarian candidate and former Congressman Bob Barr wins 6% support, eating into McCain’s needed conservative base of support.

link: http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1523

For Electoral College Votes Zogby calculates that Obama leads McCain, 273-158!!!

[skooooo]

1. woo hoo!

Mr. Teleprompter is pulling under 40%!!!

:rofl:

[AtomicKitten]

2. Barr will help deliver North Carolina into the blue column.

[Catch22Dem]

14. I don't know about NC

I think Barr will do more to turn his home state of Georgia blue.

[AtomicKitten]

17. It's delightful to a have a third party spoiler on the other side of the aisle this go.

[Jawja]

20. Here's to

a BLUE Georgia!! :toast: :bounce:

[Max_powers94]

22. Don't forget about GA

[Lisa0825]

3. I was part of that survey pool!

:woohoo:

[TahitiNut]

25. Yup... sew wuz eye.

:woohoo:

[usregimechange]

4. kick

[skids]

5. Wow, Barr only has 32% to go...

Or how else can we phrase that to make it sound like he has a chance?

:evilgrin:

[tekisui]

6. I think we should push him on a state-by-state basis.

He REALLY has a shot in GA, NC, FL and Alaska. REALLY!!!
:toast:

[skids]

16. Good idea n/t

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

7. I don't like this! Still far too close. I want Obama to be able to say that he won on his own...

not because of Bob Barr. I would like for him to be able to say that he has a mandate and some political capital to go with that. I respect Zogby but I'm not comfortable with where we stand at the moment. I still maintain that it's not close.

[tekisui]

9. It's not that close, really.

Patience. Obama is making inroads in red states and securing swing states.

Check back in one month and then two months from now. I fully expect Obama to be polling over 50% by then.

[Drunken Irishman]

8. I wish Obama were above 45%, but McCain being below 40% is a bad sign.

[tekisui]

10. Mcdubya has a ceiling of 45%.

And, it could be lowering on him daily.

Obama's ceiling hasn't been hit. It could be 55% or more. Stay tuned....

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

11. Actually, he's never gotten above 48% and this number is during the height of the

Democratic primary infighting. This guy really is the one who has the problems. He can't get above that number. And in fact, he seems to be stuck in the low 40's ever since Obama wrapped up the nomination. While the M$M continues to muse about Obama's "problems," they don't speak at all of the very real problems facing McSame.

[tekisui]

12. If the M$M gave McM$M the attention they gave Obama,

he wouldn't be able to breach 40%.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

13. "McM$M"!!! I love that!!! n/t

[tekisui]

15. It's the best fit.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=132&topic_id=6443251

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

23. I know. It's so frustrating! n/t

[NYC_SKP]

18. Go Bob Barr!

Maybe the next time I'm engaged in conversation with a diehard lib-hater, I'll tell him I'm backing Bob Barr!

Let him split the with McCain whatever share of the electorate loves Bush.

[democrattotheend]

19. This is an online poll, right?

I have heard their online polling is not that good yet.

[phrigndumass]

21. Zogby is another outfit that samples D's and R's evenly

Like Gallup. I don't agree with their methodology, but it's noteworthy that Obama has a six-point lead nationally when both parties are sampled evenly. If they were sampled according to identification, Obama might have a 10-point lead.

K/R for good info ... 273 EVs not counting the toss-up states is excellent! :hi:

[PresidentObama]

24. Good. Now lets maintain that lead n/t