Analysis reveals more lopsided race than polls show: Obama dominates most energized voters

[DeepModem Mom]

USA Today: This year, 6 types of voters will decide the presidential election
By Susan Page, USA TODAY

All voters are not created equal. Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain in the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll by only single digits among registered voters, 48%-42%, at the edge of the survey's margin of error. However, an analysis of how Americans view the election — whether they think it matters and how strongly they're committed to a candidate — shows a more lopsided contest. USA TODAY used results from a national survey of 1,625 adults to sort the electorate into six broad groups based on their level of engagement and enthusiasm about the election.

Obama dominates the two most energized groups of voters, 44% of the electorate combined, who are focused on a range of issues and say they won't change their choice of candidate between now and November. McCain's strongholds are two groups of voters at the other end of the spectrum, 28% of the electorate in all, who are skeptical that the election results will make any difference in their lives and are less enthusiastic about voting than usual. A cluster of more upbeat GOP-leaning voters remains in the middle and up for grabs.

In all, 67% of Obama supporters say they're more excited than usual about voting, compared with 31% of McCain backers. A 54% majority of McCain voters report being less excited than usual.

Political strategists who have run national campaigns say that enthusiasm gap underscores an uphill climb ahead for McCain — and reflects a risk for Obama.

Everything is harder when your backers are downbeat, says Tony Fabrizio, the pollster for Republican Bob Dole's 1996 presidential campaign, which struggled to generate voter excitement. "It is very difficult to raise money if there's not a level of enthusiasm," he says. "It is very difficult to put people out on the street. It's very difficult to have a national organization, or to get people to rallies and events." He's seen a "stark contrast" between the ability of McCain and Obama to draw big crowds and raise money.

If there is a silver lining for McCain, it's this: At a time President Bush's approval rating is 28% and fewer Americans identify themselves with the GOP than at any time in decades, those backing the Arizona senator are likely to stick with him. What's more, they tend to be older people who reliably vote. Obama, in contrast, has inspired enormous enthusiasm among younger voters, who in the past have been less likely to show up at the polls....

http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-07-09-voter-analysis_N.htm

[opihimoimoi]

1. The Worry/Fear Card is evident::: Young Peeps flock to Obama as the one means to solve their worries

They will vote BLUE and the Pubs hate it...will do anything to distract, disrupt...including dirty tricks, etc

They will send their trolls and moles into the Dems Camp....Gore got poor advice, Kerry too....and they will also attempt to fuck up Obama by infiltration to make miuschief and or sabotage...

In the End...Obamas trend of Positiveness and Solutions far outweighs McSames Strats of continuing Bushies Pub Policies...which has produced crap.