NBC News Wall Street Journal poll due out at 6:30 EST

[bluestateguy]

Because we don't have enough polls... :eyes:

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2008/07/23/1217484.aspx

[featherman]

1. Last one was Obama +6. Any guesses?

[Cosmocat]

3. Some NBC stoolie was ...

let on the air to teese it and would not quote the poll, but used, surprise, the word "horse race" ...

[Drunken Irishman]

4. I'm guessing Obama +2.

[ErinBerin84]

2. seriously...

They'll claim that it is an underwhelming lead and "WHY DIDN'T HE GET A BUMP FROM HIS TRIP. WHAT IS WRONG WITH THIS GUY??", even though the poll was probably conducted last week or something...

[democrattotheend]

8. I think you're right

I'm nervous...I don't have a good feeling about this poll.

[Avalux]

5. McCain by 2! We are being lied to constantly - I expect nothing less.

It's in the MSM's best interest to make this race *appear* as close as possible.

[Perky]

6. MSNBC has been hyping it all day long

MY gues is that it is Obama by about 10.

[democrattotheend]

9. That would be great

But somehow I don't have a good feeling.

[Drunken Irishman]

10. Won't be that big.

Obama dipped in the polls prior to his trip...but the trip won't take full effect in the polls until Friday. If Obama led by 6 in the last poll and he lost some support recently, he probably is now at +2-3 would be my guess. Maybe +4.

If it's better than 6, I'll be surprised...happy, but surprised.

[gcomeau]

7. Well, the early leak...

...was on the timetable question. Good idea (the yay Obama option) was running 60%. Bad idea was 30%.

No way to extrapolate with certainty from there to the general head to head numbers, but they're not exactly a good sign for McCain considering Iraq is the one campaign issue he's supposed to have a fighting chance on. If people are finally starting to wake up on that score it's over.