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Panic on the Republican Plains in SC

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alteredstate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 03:04 PM
Original message
Panic on the Republican Plains in SC
http://www.fitsnews.com/2008/07/24/endangered-angry-elephants/#more-4256

FITSNews - July 24, 2008 - The so-called “reddest state in America” is in the midst of a pronounced “purpling,” as South Carolina voters are fleeing the Republican Party in droves and African-American voter registration is at an all-time high. The only question is whether this Stalingrad-style “pincers” will translate into a stunning South Carolina victory for Democrat presidential candidate Barack Obama over Republican John McCain? And at the state level, will there be a shift in the balance of power in the S.C. General Assembly?

Recent polls show McCain enjoying a 45%-39% lead over Obama in South Carolina, with libertarian Bob Barr getting 5% of the vote and 11% remaining undecided. McCain seems safe for the moment, but remember that just four years ago, GOP incumbent George W. Bush trounced Democrat John Kerry in South Carolina 58%-40%.......


Anyway, any one who follows politics in this state knows that the surprise story of our presidential primaries was that Democrats outdrew Republicans by a 525,000 to 446,000 margin. But what happens when you take a peek inside those numbers? First of all, GOP leaders were quick to blame the gap - which took them completely by surprise - on the convenient bogeyman of African-American voter registration. Blacks were just registering in record numbers because of Obama’s candidacy, they said.

That’s partly true. African-American voter registration is at 130% its normal level right now (at least), and the Obama campaign is devoting all of its time and resources in South Carolina on one thing - registering even more blacks. But Obama’s “black wave” is just one part of the equation.According to sources who spoke with FITSNews on the condition of anonymity, January’s primary election also saw “record Republican desertion” and what one pollster said was “over a hundred thousand Republicans not just sitting out, but crossing the line and voting Democrat.”.......

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Bullet1987 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 03:11 PM
Response to Original message
1. I don't think SC is up for grabs in '08
Good to hear people wanting to get involved though.
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Labors of Hercules Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 10:11 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. pessimist.
begonewiththee.
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Renew Deal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 03:12 PM
Response to Original message
2. And Obama has all his names in the bank.
Obama did massive GOTV in SC. He knows who his voters are.
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alteredstate Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 09:37 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. And our new SC Obama for America Field Director just arrived.
:)
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cbc5g Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 09:39 PM
Response to Original message
4. If McCain loses SC or wins by a couple points..it's a landslide
IMO McCain wins SC by 12
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the_real_38 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #4
6. I think McCain by 10, but my congressional district is in play ...
... http://www.robmillerforcongress.com/">Rob Miller is challenging the odious Joe Wilson.
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 09:58 PM
Response to Original message
5. How dare those African-Americans register to vote?
:sarcasm:

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SoCalDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Jul-25-08 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. But.. registering and getting to vote are two distinctly different events
Edited on Fri Jul-25-08 10:03 PM by SoCalDem
and then having the vote actually count, is a third :(
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-08 11:07 AM
Response to Reply #7
13. This is true. In states like that, it would be a good idea to have
volunteer lawyers or others at every poll to help take up any challenge. Nobody should let a challenge go unchallenged.
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styersc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-08 07:48 AM
Response to Reply #5
11. What are you talking about?
African Ameircan voters are the backbone of the SC Democratic Party.
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treestar Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-08 11:05 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. It is upsetting to Republicans
I was talking about SC generally - majority republican, if the above article is correct.

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Possumpoint Donating Member (937 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-08 07:17 AM
Response to Original message
9. Don't Be A Fool
The reason most Republicans crossed party lines was to throw the Democratic Election to the candidate they thought most likely to be beaten in the general.

Don't count on the same phenomena during the general election.
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AllentownJake Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Jul-26-08 07:24 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. ummm wrong
Operation Chaos didn't start till after Super Tuesday. Just an FYI...and Obama won the state by a very significant margin.


The GOP wanted Clinton not the new guy.
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