Gallup, 7/27: Obama 49%, McCain 40% -- 9 POINT LEAD! Largest lead yet, in Gallup tracking.

[highplainsdem]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/109102/Gallup-Daily-Obama-49-McCain-40.aspx

PRINCETON, NJ -- Barack Obama now leads John McCain among national registered voters by a 49% to 40% margin in Gallup Poll Daily tracking conducted July 24-26.

This represents a continuation of Obama's front-runner position evident in the last three Gallup Poll Daily tracking updates. The margin, coincident with the extensive U.S. news coverage of Obama's foreign tour, is the largest for Obama over McCain measured since Gallup began tracking the general election horserace in March. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.)

A key question remains as to whether this "bounce" is short-term (as happens to bounces in some instances following intense publicity surrounding a convention) or if his lead will persist -- the answer to which will become evident in the next several days. -- Frank Newport

[elkston]

1. Sweet! n/t

[BlueCaliDem]

13. Yes, but why isn't CNN reporting this as a "liberal-biased medium"? eom

[Thrill]

2. McCain continues to not garner more than 42% in any national poll

[VolcanoJen]

3. But... but... the Panel of Oldsters on George Stephanopolous this morning...

... told me that Obama got no "trip" bounce and is likely to actually lose a few points, since that Berlin Rally "won't play well in Peoria."

:shrug:

;-)

[mrreowwr_kittty]

7. Beat me to it.

Oh but, everyone knows how much the media fawns over Obama. :sarcasm:

[VolcanoJen]

14. If there's one thing I really, really hope happens after Obama wins the Presidency...

... it's that Cokie Roberts, Sam Donaldson and George Will all get put out to pasture.

They don't get it. They haven't "gotten" it for at least a decade. They're consistently wrong. They are pathetic at "reading the mood of the electorate." They are monumentally horrible at their one task: Political Punditry.

Enough with these Reagan-era holdouts. Retire, already. Get out of the fucking way.

[BlueCaliDem]

22. As long as a Pres. Obama doesn't kiss up to corporate-driven media...

... these dinosaurs are going to stay right where they're making the huge bucks paid by these billion-dollar corporations.

What needs to be done is trying to get the corporate media to back down. There are sly ways, I'm sure, to do this. Many strategists around who would know how, but it's clear they have way too much power as it is and need to back down or nothing is going to change.

Journalists and talking-heads these days use their trained oratory and writing skills to continue to delude the truth feeding propaganda to the short-attention-span American people. This specific evil needs to be dug out by the roots - the corporations that are too pro-rightwing as CNN is beginning to show.

I mean, at times, I wonder if I'm watching Fixed News or CNN! Just about every proven rightwinger that shilled for Bush have now gotten a show of their own. It's disgraceful and they need to be taught a lesson about being the fourth estate in the United States. I think they've forgotten that...

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

32. Amen!

The troika that you named hasn't had anything substantive to say about American politics since about 1986.

[VolcanoJen]

35. Troika indeed

I laughed out loud at the beginning of the show when Stephanopolous announced "This week's roundtable" as The Troika + Matthew Dowd.

WOW! No way! I'm going to stay tuned and cling onto every word from these Very Serious Oldsters (+ Matthew Dowd) who are So Much Smarter Than Me!!!

[mrreowwr_kittty]

44. I'm really finding the Beltway crowd tiresome, as they bloviate about "Middle America"

They don't know squat about regular people.

[Peacetrain]

45. Exactly!..At one time, media and press

were middle class or even working class..but when you get into the ethers these talking heads live in, I hardly think they are deciding between filling the gas tank and pizza and cake for the 2 year olds birthday or just cake..

YET, they go on as if they understand our pain. Or better yet, if you have ever heard the right wing bloviaters, how they pay all the taxes.. sob sob sob..

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

47. Media personalities with seven figure incomes...

who would be totally friggin' lost outside the NYC - DC Corridor. Yep. I trust them to tell me what people are thinking in Indiana.

[VolcanoJen]

61. If I hear Joe Scarborough talk about "the voters of Youngstown, Ohio" one more time...

... I'm sending the Local Pipefitters over to show him a thing or two about a thing or two. ;-)

[mrreowwr_kittty]

62. I'd love to see that.

I'd also like to see someone reopen the investigation on the intern who mysteriously showed up dead in his office.

[VolcanoJen]

63. Funny you should mention that...

... a week or so ago, when the Washington Post was (inexplicably) running a five-part series called "Who Killed Chandra Levy," the producers were trying that bizarre Mika-and-Joe back-and-forth newsreading, and Joe Scarborough ended up reading the news bite about Chandra Levy off the teleprompter. He skipped over the story faster than Bob Novak speeding away from a hit-and-run.

I thought to myself, while laughing out loud, "Clever MSNBC intern prankster." :-)

[mrreowwr_kittty]

64. OMG! I'm sorry I missed that!

Not that Joe Scabrous being a possible murderer is amusing or anything, but the idea of him squirming is.

[Geek_Girl]

56. I haven't been watching much news lately

But my mother this morning told me that Obama's numbers are slipping. I'm wondering if she's watching faux news again.

[ErinBerin84]

4. Joe Scarborough is not going to be pleased.

:toast:

[otohara]

19. I Expect MSM Will Work Overtime to Undo

that bounce. Gotta keep the horse race going - time to bash the inexperienced, black, arrogant, European rock-star, empty suit Jr. Senator from Ill.

[jezebel]

25. You forgot troop hating. nt

[TheDonkey]

43. will the MSM be whoring this poll like they do when it was tied a few weeks ago

and they were all concerned that Obama should be "up" more.

[polichick]

5. Sorry, the msm has already declared that there is no bounce.

[Demeter]

8. Doesn't Matter. Obama Doesn't Need Bounce!

McCain, however, needs to rethink his priorities....

[polichick]

11. I was just being sarcastic - of course there's a bounce! :)

[VolcanoJen]

15. I prefer...

... Snuggle.

[flpoljunkie]

6. Sweet, indeed!

[democrattotheend]

9. GOBAMA!

That's what I call momentum, baby!

[CrispyQ]

10. Last week some talking head was exclaiming that Obama

"just can't reach that 48% mark!"

[jezebel]

12. THERE IS NO BOUNCE. There will be NO bounce. Obama must be up 350 points before its a bounce. nt

[grantcart]

18. exactly this is only a 'continental drift'

[Demeter]

28. The Perfect Bon Mot!

Thank you, Grantcart!

[ChimpersMcSmirkers]

16. There we go. Excellent!

[Phred42]

17. I stopped trusting Gallup earlier this century

when they were caught a few time - OVER-POLLING republicans to make Bush look better

Gallup is nothing to hang your hat on either way

[ErinBerin84]

21. exactly.

They could be just showing a bounce to only have it evaporate quickly and say "OOOH, GUESS NOT!" But it gives one less day that the MSM can use the "trip didn't give him a bounce" story tomorrow, and I'll take what little pleasures I can get. Polls in July mean nothing, but I can still get my laughs from seeing the pundits interpret them through all their teeth gnashing, even if it won't last.

[dontforgetpoland]

39. same as Rasmusseun daily polling

Scott Rasmusseun goes on Fox News late last week and says that the race is tightening. To have his own polling firm prove him wrong would be unacceptable to him. Obama is +5% ahead in his poll today (McCain is up 1% today), I would expect Rasmusseun to poll more Rep and see Obama numbers closer to McCain's later this week.

[senseandsensibility]

20. I predict that the corporate media will continue to say there

is no bounce. They continued to call * a popular president LONG after his approval
rating plummeted. In fact, I don't think they stopped until his rating had been below forty percent for years.

[ErinBerin84]

24. very possible.

When Gallup is the only poll out of like eight showing that there is a two point spread, gallup is The Authority, according to the MSM. But this could be designated for the bottom screen scroll only.

[Arugula Latte]

23. Media: Could the "Bounce" be bad for Obama?

Our panel of unbiased rightwing corporate toadies concludes: "Yes!"

[senseandsensibility]

26. LOL

But only too likely.

[jezebel]

27. yes, yes. Doesn't the bounce make him seem unAmerican to people in West Virginia and in diners? nt

[polichick]

31. It'll be his undoing - especially if it lasts!

[VolcanoJen]

36. Obama is TOO POPULAR and HE WORKS OUT A LOT

And he MIGHT GET ELECTED which will be PROOF POSITIVE that OBAMA DOES NOT PLAY WELL IN MIDDLE AMERICA!!!

:rofl:

[polichick]

38. LOL - plus, he can pronounce too many words correctly!

[highplainsdem]

41. LOL

[Arkana]

29. I notice the concern trolls are predictably silent.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

33. Don't flame me, bro...

But if you've been listening to nothing but the MSM, their message of the week has been "The Race Is Tightening" or some variation thereupon. It would be enough for someone to get legitimately concerned as to why such a train wreck of a candidate (McCain, for you PUMA who are lurking) is still keeping even within eight points of Obama.

Even a non-troll could be concerned by the news this week.

[Arkana]

42. For someone who is a little less informed, yes, I can see that.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

46. Which is, I suppose, the whole point

plant the false impression that McCain is doing well in hope that it will boost his support.

[samsingh]

60. several reasons why

- the msm is lying for mccain and hiding his true nature
- repug dirty tricks
- the polls are biased
- some of the people are truly stupid, e.g. 18% still think bush-the-idiot is doing a good job

[npincus]

30. sha-ZAAM!

[dontforgetpoland]

34. My fav is msm saying that there is no bounce this week and recent st Quinnipiac proves that, but

all of Quinnipiac polling (CO, MN, WI, MI) was taken a week before the trip and the case of Co they polled 8% more republicans than their last poll.

The Fox News poll was ridicule too and its silly they are using that as a source.

[my3boyz]

37. Oh those pesky facts don't matter to MSM. They still have to pimp their guy. nt

[tishaLA]

40. I'm greedy. I want him to break 50%

[opihimoimoi]

48. Soon, its gonna be 15%...then 20%...maybe MORE...The Cainittes are tanking badly

glub glub glub

[Tribetime]

54. I'm happy with 9 right now, but give me some of what you're drinking

[opihimoimoi]

59. 9 up and 10 holes to play...sending Diet Coke and hot crabs

[highplainsdem]

49. kick

[jazzjunkysue]

50. Gallup is notoriously right-wing. The last to dip B* into the 20's.

That means the lead is really easily double digits.

[Awsi Dooger]

51. I'm noticing DU suddenly likes national polls

A week ago we needed to forget national polls and focus strictly on those always-more-meaningful state polls.

:rofl:

Nothing is changing. It busts me up when threads show up and insist state X and state Y just changed camps compared to last week. Obama has foundational edge and everything will take care of itself.

[Fluffdaddy]

52. Wake me in October when polls means something

[RNdaSilva]

65. How 'bout midnight November 4th?

The final poll, Obama in a landslide. By 20+, by 100+ EV's...December 15, 2008,

Positive thinking is contagious, start an epidemic. No negativism please.

[Fluffdaddy]

66. Positive thinking has its place, but lets not stick our heads in the sand.

[TeamJordan23]

53. Surprised to see that Drudge put this as his top story. nm

[Drunken Irishman]

55. If Obama has a 9-point lead (or eve 7+) by this time next week, it might be over.

Sometimes bounces are temporary and a bounce of this degree could last only a few days. If Obama expands his lead, or keeps it at 9-points for a week, it will show the bounce was more than just that, but a real trend.

[Motown_Johnny]

57. to soon for that.... the debates can flip a 9 point lead, or expand it

[Fluffdaddy]

58. Yep, This will be won or lost based on the 3 debates

[Fluffdaddy]

67. wrong thread........sorry