50/39 - The psychological break point

[Kittycat]

I cannot wait for the day that Obama polls at 50%, and McCain 39%. Better yet, 51/38... I think that showing will send a shockwave through the psychological underbelly of this country. In doing so, I only see things worsening for McCain. He steadily becomes insignificant, and Obama becomes inevitable. My hope is that it happens after the Dem Convention and holds through the Puke Convention. If it does this - there's no turning back, IMO.

Thoughts?

[AllentownJake]

1. The media will call it an outlier

and right it off. I'll enjoy 53-47 on Election night the most though :-)

[ChimpersMcSmirkers]

13. "Obama is still having trouble with Eskimos"

[L0oniX]

2. McGaffe can persue his bucket list after that.

[tekisui]

3. It's coming, and I can't wait.

I think we'll be there within two weeks, and it will be no looking back. McCranky will get more desperate and more irrelevant.

It will be even more as it is now: Obama vs M$M.

[Mz Pip]

4. I wish

I could be so confident. But things can turn on a dime in politics. The more desperate the GOP become the nastier they will get. Kerry was ahead before the swiftboaters started in on him. I hope the Democrats have learned their lesson from that sorry episode and fight back rather than assume people will tune out negative ads.

I won't breathe easy until the election results are certified. I expect the GOP to demand recounts and scream foul in every state that is close. It will not be pretty.

[Diane R]

5. I agree with this post. Democrats are getting ahead of themselves. We've seen what Rove/GOP can do

[Kittycat]

8. Sure they can, but if we're out there working now...

Getting people involved more than ever before, they'll begin to own a stake in this year's election. They'll spread it through their family, their friends - and their friends, friends. Pushing the agenda that it is more than just showing up to vote - but getting emotionally invested to a point where it's vital to work to change all those around you, instead of being complacent.

[salguine]

15. You're not kidding. I've said it before, and I'll say it again...

I fully expect this election to be stolen, and I expect the Democrats will just sit there and take it.

[Motown_Johnny]

6. Gallup has Obama at 49% now, an early VP pick might bump that up to 51% if you get that to hold

until the Olympics start then the polls stagnate for weeks. You then have the Dem convention to help solidify the lead and hopefully last through the repug convention. Then come the debates.... that should be the icing. oversimplified but ... hey....

[Arkana]

7. If McCain at any point in the daily trackers hits 39% it's pretty much a given

that he will lose the election.

[quakerboy]

9. The post above yours

"Research 2000 Poll: Obama 51% McCain 39% Barr 3% Nader 2%"

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=132x6547908

[Kittycat]

11. Just read it - MOE looks to be 2%. Incredible.

[Sulawesi]

10. Inevitable...bad word n/t

[nerddem]

17. yeah, especially around here.

i feel pretty uncomfortable with that word coming from an obama supporter, considering all the mess and infighting during the primaries, mocking hillary supporters with that word.

[Upton]

12. I don't think so, check this out

Here's a CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll from July 2000 showing Bush leading Gore 50%-39%. We all know who won the popular vote and should have won the election.

http://archives.cnn.com/2000/ALLPOLITICS/stories/07/27/cnn.poll/index.html

[Kittycat]

16. Great, that's July. I'm talking about around convention time and beyond when People actually

start paying attention and make up their minds.

[rndmprsn]

14. its happened

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08gen.htm

MCCSAME-39 OBAMA-51 BARR-3 NADER-2

[CreekDog]

18. how about 51-39 *today* in a poll from Research 2000?

:hi: