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Encouraging Stat pointing to an Obama Victory (from Lou Dobbs, believe it or not)

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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 07:13 PM
Original message
Encouraging Stat pointing to an Obama Victory (from Lou Dobbs, believe it or not)
Apparently on Lou Dobbs' show tonight, he brought up this stat:

The eventual President has always been ahead in the Gallup poll taken 100 days before the election.

We just past the 100 day mark two days ago. And Obama was ahead.

Dobbs also pointed out that in every case but one, the race tightened after that 100 day poll. But in the end, the leader of the poll 100 days out has always won.

How nice of Lou to point this out.
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gcomeau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 07:18 PM
Response to Original message
1. I guarantee you...
...the only reason he brought it up was because of THIS Gallup poll:

http://blogs.usatoday.com/onpolitics/2008/07/gains-for-mccai.html
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writes3000 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 07:20 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. But that's not THE Gallup poll.
That's not the poll or the polling system that's been used for decades.
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David Dunham Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. The actual Gallup/USA Today poll has McCain leading by 4
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Doremus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jul-28-08 08:39 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. A day or two ago they had Obama up by 8 or 9....? n/t
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