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Rasmussen: Obama loses Berlin Bounce

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darius15 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 09:44 AM
Original message
Rasmussen: Obama loses Berlin Bounce
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that Barack Obama’s Berlin bounce is gone. Obama now attracts 44% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 47% and McCain 46%.

However, the week’s polling showed a roller-coaster of opinion surrounding Obama’s big speech. The event in Berlin was well-covered and initial reviews on the speech were positive. Polling on Thursday and Friday nights was very strong for the Democrat, leading to a six-point advantage in our Saturday morning release. However, polling for the past three days shows no trace of a bounce. The data looks very similar to results from the period preceding the speech and, with fourteen weeks to go, the race for the White House is a toss-up

Obama earns the vote from 78% of Democrats, McCain is supported by 86% of Republicans, and unaffiliated voters are evenly divided. McCain leads 50% to 44% among White voters and 51% to 43% among men. Obama leads 51% to 42% among women and 92% to 5% among African-Americans

Obama is viewed favorably by 56% of voters, McCain by 54%

As Vice Presidential rumors swirl about Tim Kaine, 20% of voters nationwide have a favorable opinion of the Virginia Governor. Another 20% have an unfavorable view while most have no opinion
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SteppingRazor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 09:46 AM
Response to Original message
1. Of course, the race for the White House is actually far from a tossup. National polls don't matter.
Our system is a state-by-state winner-take-all system, and on a state-by-state level, Obama is butchering McCain:

http://electoral-vote.com/
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jefferson_dem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
2. Funny. First they say he didn't get a bounce. Now they say he had one and now it's gone.
Dismiss the bs.
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Clintonista2 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 09:54 AM
Response to Reply #2
4. Who?
Who said he didn't get a bounce?
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RichGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 09:53 AM
Response to Original message
3. I think that polls are media driven.
Edited on Tue Jul-29-08 09:54 AM by RichGirl
The media doesn't care about the country, or truth or anything like that. They only care about ratings/money. They want a horse-race because it'll bring good ratings. So as soon as Obama starts to rise in the polls, they have to cut him down. Doesn't matter how trivial or truthful...they'll report on anything that will pull his numbers down.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:19 AM
Response to Reply #3
6. They Want a FIXED Horse Race
The MSM wants the Repiggies to win. If McCain were 20 points ahead, they would be trying to make it 30 and give him a veto-proof majority in Congress.

Ratings take a back seat to helping the Repiggies win because their parent corporations make more money of the war than they do off their networks.

If the networks just wanted "horse races" they would have been helping Carter and Mondale keep their races close with Reagan.
They didn't, of course, they buried them both as deep as they could.



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Beacool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:11 AM
Response to Original message
5. McCain gets more support from the Repugs than Obama does from the Dems.?
I thought that the conservatives despised him.
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geek tragedy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:40 AM
Response to Reply #5
10. Civil War Democrats.
As in, people who are Democrats because Abe Lincoln was a Republican.

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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:42 AM
Response to Reply #5
11. We still have more work to do. 77% of the Dem vote is not good enough
He needs to be in the high 80's at least.
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Beacool Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:50 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. Listen to momma: bring Hillary in and he'll get the reluctant stray sheep.
Many are still waiting and watching.
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Teaser Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:23 AM
Response to Original message
7. *yawn*
.
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beachmom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:25 AM
Response to Original message
8. His overseas trip was not intended to create a bounce. It was a base line
event to show him in a try out as leader of the free world. He passed, which was all that was needed.
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book_worm Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:38 AM
Response to Original message
9. I think the majority of Americans don't care if Obama went to the ME and Europe
they are concerned about their own problems. I don't see any big bounce out of this. If anything it may just have caused people to see that he can act on the international stage and calmed their fears about his foreign policy credentials. If it did just that then it's a success, but I don't see any big bounce out of this or a lasting one. I'm actually glad he's home and concentrating on the economy because that's what people are most concerned about.
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nancyr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:52 AM
Response to Original message
13. Enough with the fake polls.
Who even believes them???
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flpoljunkie Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 10:58 AM
Response to Original message
14. No surprise. Media obsessed on McCain fed lie that Obama "blew off injured troops" in Landstuhl.
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bklyncowgirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jul-29-08 12:20 PM
Response to Original message
15. It's the GOP and the media pounding on the "Obama blew off wounded soldiers" story
It's not true but somehow the usually highly efficient Obama rapid response team failed to get on top of this right away.
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