New CNN poll Obama 51 McCain 44

[jezebel]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/07/30/poll-shows-obamas-trip-didnt-change-race/
Poll shows Obama's trip didn't change race
Posted: 04:13 PM ET

From CNN Ticker Producer Alexander Mooney


Obama's trip abroad did little to alter the presidential race.
(CNN) — It was a weeklong trip that drew blanket media coverage and sharp criticism from Republicans, but Barack Obama's recent tour abroad did little to alter the standing of the presidential race, a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll shows.

According to the survey — the first national poll conducted entirely after the Democratic presidential candidate's trip to Iraq, Afghanistan, the Middle East, and Europe — the race for the White House has remained virtually unchanged since late June, with Obama holding a 51-44 percent edge over Sen. John McCain. In a similar poll conducted one month ago, Obama held a 5-point lead over the senator from Arizona , 50-45 percent.

The CNN poll of polls, an average of several recent national surveys, tells the same story — a single-digit lead for Obama (48-45 percent) that keeps McCain within easy striking distance of his Democratic rival with less than 100 days before voters weigh in at the polls.

The new survey also suggests the trip — carefully designed to burnish Obama's foreign policy credentials — did little to alter voters' perceptions of how the Illinois senator would handle national security issues.

"Did Obama's trip help his standing with the public on foreign policy issues? Not really," CNN Polling Director Keating Holland said. "Obama has not picked up any ground against McCain on foreign issues and some 52 percent think McCain would do a better job than Obama on the war in Iraq — virtually the same number who felt that way in April."

The poll also shows the presumptive Republican presidential nominee has an edge on terrorism, Iran, Afghanistan and the Middle East — in fact, every foreign policy and national security issue addressed tilts toward McCain. (Terrorism, Afghanistan, Iraq, Middle East, Iran, and Immigration.)

But in what is good news for Obama, the poll suggests few of the McCain campaign's criticisms of the trip have stuck — especially charges Obama was presumptuously acting as if he had already won the election, and claims he nixed a visit with injured troops because members of the media could not accompany him.

Instead, more than two-thirds of voters surveyed said the trip was appropriate for a presidential candidate, and 72 percent think Obama cares abut veterans and the troops currently in Iraq.

[Hope And Change]

1. K & R!

[Thrill]

2. Trust me. Th eonly reason McCain is close is because of the Hillary supporters holding out

Thats the sad truth. Makes no sense to me. McCain is against every thing Hillary stands for

[Coexist]

3. he broke 50 - there goes another talking point! Why can't McCain close the deal?

[Got WMD]

13. Move along... nothing to see here...

you need to focus on the fact that the "arrogant" Obama can't break 50% in ANY polls. Why can't he "connect" with "real" Americans, "you know, white people"?

*quotes courtesy of Chris Matthews

[my3boyz]

17. Oh but Tweety said Obama never breaks 50! nt

[Coexist]

19. then this poll should be referred to as "an outlier"

from now on.

[defendandprotect]

4. My reading is 61 . . . 34 . . .

[Barack_America]

5. McCain's scurrilous attacks have done little to alter the presidential race.

Alternate headline.

[jezebel]

7. Yeah and Obama went UP 2. You know if he would have gone down 2 they would have said he was dropping

[goodgd_yall]

6. Sounds good to me.

What's with the pessimistic commentary?

[Connie_Corleone]

9. I know what you mean.

It's a shame that Democrats can't get a break when it comes to foreign policy issues, but I think most people give the edge to McCain because he used to be in the Navy.

Other than that, the poll is good since McCain's stupid attacks didn't hurt Obama at all. And most people know that Obama cares about the troops.

[underpants]

10. Let's see

People really aren't paying attention yet
The media did this with their coverage of his trip
This differs from the recent trend of McCain..uh.. not losing by as much as before
McCain has him RIGHT WHERE HE WANTS HIM!!!

Any of those will do :rofl:

[VADem11]

8. He broke 50%

That is huge.

[underpants]

11. Yes it is

(member of the media screaming to his cohorts) THIS GUY WON'T GO DOWN!!! :grr::mad:

(people who own DC) :scared:

[tishaLA]

12. exactly what I thought

I've been waiting for this. And I am VERY happy to see it finally happen.

[grantcart]

14. pretty accurate this time

BTW keeping McCain out of the media is significant even if they don't see a bounce.

[elehhhhna]

15. " Obama's trip didn't change race" LOL...he's still black? OH NOES!11!!q

[book_worm]

16. Of course they make it sound like big deal so what Obama's only 7-points ahead.

[dontforgetpoland]

18. Bad cnn headline for this poll.

"Poll shows Obama's trip didn't change race"

Instead of just saying, Obama maintain lead in race. They almost always have to put a negative spin toward Obama. They always want to suggest that this race is neck-to-neck.

[my3boyz]

20. I see Halperin and First Read don't have links yet. Wonder why? Also, which

polling firm did the poll? Doesn't CNN use Gallup?

[Thrill]

21. I can't believe that many people think McCain should be President

But then again 60 mill voted for Bush the second time

[Historic NY]

22. Whats does Barr & Nader do in this poll?

[ecstatic]

23. Look for Lou to be hopelessly rabid tonight... nt

[Arkana]

24. Apparently they couldn't spin the good news part at the end

so they were forced to print it as-is.

[Drunken Irishman]

25. I've said for a while now Obama will win this thing by 5-7 points.

And I stand by that. People might expect a blowout, but the last time an incumbent party lost the White House by more than 10-points was Hoover back in 1932. Even Reagan, in 1980, only beat Carter by 9.7-points. A blowout for sure, but not the type of blowout we saw 4 years later.

Obama won't get a 10-point victory, but he'll win by 6 or so points. Watch.