Cook and Rothenberg on key Senate races...

[speedoo]

Alaska: Dem wins (Stevens loses)
NH: Dem wins (Shaheen)
Virginia: Dem wins (Warner)
New Mexico: Dem wins (Udall)
Colorado: Dem has an edge (Udall)

That's 5 seats picked up. But they don't see Dems getting 60 Senate seats.

[Hippo_Tron]

1. Other possible pickups include:

Mississippi, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oregon, and possibly (but doubtful) Maine. Right now the GOP has the edge in all of those. We'll see if that holds true in the fall. If McGramps loses in a landslide I think we will pick up some of these, particularly Minnesota and North Carolina.

[Thrill]

2. Don't count out North Carolina. Obama and our Governors race is likey

to help Kay Hagan

[Zynx]

3. I would give 60 about a 10-15% probability at this point.

It's unlikely, but it could happen if everything breaks our way.

[Parche]

4. Kentucky

Is looking real good, Oregon also, as Merkeley is ahead now here....
:woohoo: :hi:

I see at least 9 seats.....................my prediction

[Awsi Dooger]

5. They should do more segments like that

Together those guys summarize the key variables very well. I'm getting sick of daily obsession with the presidential race and virtually zero coverage of House, Senate, Gov.

This cycle looks great but I remain skeptical about Alaska. That state polls heavily Democratic compared to the actual results. I'm not convinced we led that race prior to the indictment and I don't count it as a sure thing.

States like Alaska will thump you in the noggin' with a dose of heavily partisan reality if you start assuming pickups by the other party. That point was made by Cook and Rothenberg, that Alaska hasn't voted Democratic in a federal race since 1974 with Mike Gravel.

[speedoo]

6. Yes, it was refreshing to see two pros talk without any BS.

I agree, more of that kind of thing would be good.