Gallup tracking: Obama leads, 47-45

[mvd]

A strong night after McCain's speech? :puke:

He still has yet to go where Obama was, though.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110047/Gallup-Daily-Obamas-Lead-Shrinks-Points.aspx

[Danieljay]

1. The very fact that its this close means the polls are flawed or this country truly is

FUCKED.

[mvd]

3. I have my predictions, but not much surprises me

I know what you mean.

[Frances]

7. I would not use your language

but I agree with the thought

We should have expected a bump from the convention, especially McCain's story as told by himself. And Palin does excite the base.

However, I sincerely hope that there are enough rational voters to defeat the Repubs. We were the world's only superpower when Bush took office. We have lost ground to both Russia and China economically. Our military is stretched too thin to keep us safe. Meanwhile at home, the divide between the rich and the others is greater and greater.

[mvd]

14. Remember there are people out there..

who don't think things through like we do. They hear McSame's "shake up Washington" message, but don't hear about his over 100 lobbyists and Palin's more of the same record.

A couple days in a snapshot can reflect those voters, and then the polls will go Obama's way again.

[phrigndumass]

2. The poor guy can't seem to move above 45 or 46.

That's good news for us. :thumbsup:

[malik flavors]

4. Monday will give us a good sense of where things stand, and by Wednesday we'll know for sure.

But it's the state polls in swing states that I really want to see.

[Pab Sungenis]

5. This bodes well for the debates.

McCain has solidified the Republican base, and a few swingers. That's it. If he couldn't pull even with Obama after his convention bounce, he's not going to pull even, period.

[New Dawn]

6. Note that McLame had a 2-point lead before Palin hit the news

He has never led again since then. That is much more telling.

[Drunken Irishman]

10. No...

McCain held a slight one point lead the first day of the Democratic convention, but that quickly vanished and Obama built a 9-point lead by the Friday Palin was announced. McCain hasn't led since the Monday the DNC began its convention.

[Nikki Stone1]

8. Good to hear it!

:kick:

[calmblueocean]

9. Why can't McCain close the deal?

I keep waiting for the media to start asking that question. (Yes, I know, they never will. Questions like that are only reserved for Barack.)

[yourguide]

11. hang on, if this is their bump

expect those numbers to start moving apart again. That's good news.

[mvd]

12. McCain won't keep up those strong numbers

It was the type of speech that loses luster quickly, and as someone said, could really be more of a Palin bounce.

[yourguide]

15. yeah, I agree. this is pretty good news.

[tekisui]

13. This is PALIN's bump. This is the first poll of all post-palin speech.

mcpow's is only one day's worth, and I think Plain was far more energizing for the pukes than mcpow. So her bump is 2 or 3 points. Mcpow won't add much. Still looking good.

[geek tragedy]

16. He should be narrowly ahead by Monday.

Hopefully, it'll fade by then.

[mvd]

17. I'm still hoping for a tie at worst

With Friday in the record, there should be a bit more McSame improvement tomorrow. But I was wrong about Friday not being such a good night for McSame, so who knows.

[FVZA_Colonel]

19. A one or two point lead would not bother me that much.

It would likely fade in a week or so, and we must keep in mind that Obama opened with anything from a 6 to 8 point lead, even after the big Palin news dump.

[Blasphemer]

18. Seems about right

Things are settling down to where they were pre-conventions. Post debates, Obama will go back up to 49/50 and by the time the election rolls around I fully expect him to get 52% of the popular vote and win in an electoral landslide.

[mvd]

20. I'm sticking to my solid Obama win prediction, barring election fraud

:hi: