InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position: McCain(46), Obama(46) Tied Nationally

[unfrigginreal]

September 9, 2008 — InsiderAdvantage/Poll Position began its continuous polling of the national “horserace” between Republican nominee John McCain and Democratic nominee Barack Obama the evening of Monday, September 8th. The survey of 807 registered likely voters was weighted for age, race, gender, and political party affiliation.The margin of error is +/- 3.36% The results, “if the election were held today” McCain: 46%Obama: 46%Other: 2%Undecided: 6% See the attached link for specific demographic breakdowns. InsiderAdvantage’s Matt Towery: Our survey suggests that McCain gained ground by, at least temporarily, catching the attention of the youngest of voters, particularly younger females. The independent vote, which had drifted in other surveys towards McCain, in our poll, seemed to be leveling out. I think it is safe to say that this race is statistically tied and any suggestion that either side has a huge advantage at this point would be off-base.”

807 likely voters

Conducted 9/8/08

Maximum sampling error +/- 3.36
http://www.southernpoliticalreport.com/storylink_99_563.aspx

[Hope And Change]

1. So much for McCain`s bounce.LOL

[MattNC]

2. IA is garbage

but it's better than being down I suppose.

[alcibiades_mystery]

4. Five or six polls have the same result

I think it's right: about tied at 46%, with maybe slight advantage one way or the other. Tight as hell, and Mccain's bounce finito.

[WI_DEM]

3. younger females are impressed with Palin!?

[Clio the Leo]

7. yep, met one the other day.....

22 years old.

When I asked her why she was suddenly (by her own admission) now enamoured with McCain, she said "its' because of that whole 'try something different approach."

When I suggested that she was REALLY suddenly impressed with McCain after he selected Palin because she (my friend) was a good Southern Baptist, she just rolled her eyes and walked away.

I took that as a "yes."

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. Obama should do much better among these groups

African-American/Black 82% 13%

Hispanic 52% 48%

Gore got over sixty percent of the Latino vote and around ninety perecent of the African American vote...

[WI_DEM]

6. Three things which bodes well for Obama in the long run in this poll:

hispanic vote 52-48 for Obama, that will grow.
black vote 82-13 for Obama, no way McCain gets 13% of black vote.
18-29 year olds--49-44!! for Obama, I don't believe it.

We will gain ground back among all these groups.

[tandem5]

8. "it is safe to say that this race is statistically tied..."

national polls are a complete distraction from the electoral college reality. Will we feel good when Obama wins the popular vote, but loses the election? Hold Michigan fight for Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado! Its essentially the same map as the 2000 and 2004 elections - let's learn from the past and win.