Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

The "Likely Voter" Models for These Polls Need To Be Adjusted

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
Yavin4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 11:04 AM
Original message
The "Likely Voter" Models for These Polls Need To Be Adjusted
Those models are based on historical voting, but I think that this election is atypical for many reasons. I think that we will see the largest turnout in U.S. history.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
polichick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 11:06 AM
Response to Original message
1. They can't be accurate if they leave out new voters and cell phone numbers.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
justiceischeap Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 11:06 AM
Response to Original message
2. I'm sure they are totally underestimating the "young" vote and the AA vote
There's no way they can have models that are accurate for this election. So, I say, "You are correct, sir!"
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Boz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 11:06 AM
Response to Original message
3. I like the models right where they are,it seems to point against us but is really in our favor
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
quakerboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-12-08 11:41 AM
Response to Original message
4. I like it they way it is
Since we are, in my reading, still just winning the EC, the fact that the actual on the ground results should be far better than the polling might just neutralize or even overwhelm the cheating factor. Better to do adequate in your practice, then really perform at game time, ya know?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu Apr 25th 2024, 12:16 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC