GALLUP: McLame 48, Obama 45 (+1) - Race moves closer

[jefferson_dem]

Gallup Daily: McCain 48%, Obama 45%
Race moves closer

USA Election 2008 Gallup Daily Americas Northern America PRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking results for Sept. 9-11 show a slight, but not statistically significant, three percentage point advantage for John McCain over Barack Obama among registered voters, 48% to 45%.



These results, based on interviewing conducted Tuesday through Thursday, mark the first time since the Sept. 4-6 report that McCain does not have a statistically significant lead over Obama, and also reflect interviewing on Thursday that showed a very close race. It is unknown whether or not Thursday's results may have reflected any possible impact of Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin's widely publicized television interviews with Charles Gibson of ABC News, which began to be broadcast Thursday evening.

The story of the presidential race this year since early June has been a tendency for candidate support levels to return to near parity after one or the other candidate moves into a brief lead, so the days ahead will show whether or not this contest will once again settle back into a "too close to call" structure.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110266/Gallup-Daily-McCain-48-Obama-45.aspx

[DemocratSinceBirth]

1. There Is Now A Convergence Between Almost Every Nat'l Poll

~

[TwilightGardener]

2. Good.

[Jennicut]

3. I kept saying all morning that its a statistical dead heat. Please someone listen to me!!!

We are tied. Its is not "over". We are strong and Obama and Biden are fighting for us.

[Teaser]

5. As someone who uses stats alot

please don't use that term. It doesn't really mean anything. A lead in a poll is a lead, period. Once has more or less confidence in the lead, depending on it's size. But the only "dead heat" in statistics is an actual tie.

[treestar]

4. O is slowly but surely inching back up

A 911 stall - after that is out of the 3 days - the more that Failin' becomes known - the higher it will go.

[DemocracyInaction]

6. My concern is that McCain just isn't coming down

He's up over 45 unlike before and holding. He has to come down in order for us to win. The fundies and bigots are all charged up now and they will stream to the polls.

[jenmito]

7. He'll come down along with Palin. Her interview showed how she's nothing more than a token pick

who's trying to memorize McCain/Bush's policies (since she was prepped by Bush's advisors. She linked Iraq to 9/11-same ol' same ol'.

[speedoo]

8. He will come down.

He had his convention/Palin bounce and he maxed out. He has no more upside, but plenty of downside, as the moderates and independents take a closer look at him and Palin. Independents are not as easily fooled as the recent polls would suggest.

[Jersey Devil]

9. delete

[Errrica]

10. Bye-bye

"convention bounce."

[terrya]

11. Hasn't Gallup been shown to be Republican biased about 100 times around here?

[RedSpartan]

12. All the more reason

that the fade of McCain's "bounce" is significant. If it's even showing up in Gallup, imagine what the real numbers are.

[yellowcanine]

13. I am guessing that those graph lines will return to pre Dem Convention levels after the dust settles

It looks as if the Rep convention/Palin bump will be quite short lived. Obama is already heading back up and McCain is heading back down. The McCain camp "lipstick" overreaction and the Palin/Gibson interviews are going to drive down their numbers. OTOH, Obama has been steady, funny, and engaging, talking about real issues. He hasn't gotten knocked off his game plan. Right now Obama looks more presidential and trustworthy, imo. These images are important going into the final weeks of the campaign. It is hard to see what else the McCain camp could throw at Obama now that would make any difference. He has tried pretty much everything and there is not anything left. But there is plenty left in the Palin skeleton closet that will keep dribbling out between now and election day. This is one of the pitfalls of choosing a "fresh new (and unknown) face".

[hasssan1]

14. FOR GOD SAKE DON'T BOTHER YOURSELF WITH POLLS

do you remember 2004 polls ??????

[PresidentObama]

15. So we shouldn't post polls? Says you.

No one said they're the gospel.

Polls are meant to track trends.

And by the way, the polls weren't too off in 2004. From my memory.

They were very close in the end and tipped Bush's way, and what do you know...

[Drunken Irishman]

16. Great, you're back?

BOO!

;)