DavidDvorkin
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Sat Sep-13-08 08:54 AM
Original message |
Rasmussen daily tracking graph for 9/13/08 - Obama 45, McCain 48 (unchanged) |
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With leaners, Obama 46, McCain 49 (unchanged) These Rasmussen graphs are all contained on one Web page at http://www.dvorkin.com/rastrack.htmlRasmussen links: Data in tabular form Discussion
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Max_powers94
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Sat Sep-13-08 08:56 AM
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1. Whatever....Obama ahead!!!!!!! |
Teaser
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Sat Sep-13-08 08:58 AM
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2. just a big polling day the other day for McCrap |
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that's all. Doesn't look like he built on it.
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WI_DEM
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Sat Sep-13-08 09:00 AM
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3. four tracking polls: McCain ahead in 2 (Gallup narrowing), Obama in 2 |
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so I would say overall it's a dead heat.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Sep-13-08 09:24 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
6. I Thought He's Only Ahead In Hotline And Tied In Newsweek |
Teaser
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Sat Sep-13-08 09:31 AM
Response to Reply #6 |
7. DKos' research2000 poll has O by a point |
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It's a great poll, as they release the crosstabs and the *daily* totals. Completely transparent.
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DemocratSinceBirth
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Sat Sep-13-08 09:36 AM
Response to Reply #7 |
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WHITE 57% 35% 3% 2% 1% 2%
This is disturbing...I don't think he can win with 35% of the white vote unless he gets over seventy percent of the Latino vote which would be extroadinary...
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Tutonic
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Sat Sep-13-08 10:15 AM
Response to Reply #8 |
10. He will get the 70% of Latino and 98% of African American. I |
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wouldn't put too much stock in Rasmussen--they were wrong throughout the Primary. They can't seem to account for the Hsipanic and African American electorate.
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DavidDvorkin
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Sat Sep-13-08 09:16 AM
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4. This could be seen as encouraging |
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At least it's not getting worse.
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Sugarcoated
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Sat Sep-13-08 09:22 AM
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5. Obama always polls weaker on the weekend |
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Edited on Sat Sep-13-08 09:22 AM by Sugarcoated
so he may be closer than this poll suggests.
edit: typo
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DavidDvorkin
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Sat Sep-13-08 10:04 AM
Response to Reply #5 |
9. We observed that during the primary |
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Implying that Rasmussen needs to modify their model to take weekend fluctuations in their sample into account.
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Kurt_and_Hunter
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Sat Sep-13-08 10:18 AM
Response to Reply #9 |
11. Rasmussen published an analysis of the weekend effect on Ras. and Gallup. Found no such trend. |
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Don't blame the messenger. I am only noting that he did publish that.
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Fri Apr 26th 2024, 11:56 PM
Response to Original message |