GALLUP: McLame 47 (-1), Obama 45

[jefferson_dem]

Gallup Daily: McCain 47%, Obama 45%Race remains in statistical tiePRINCETON, NJ -- The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking results for Sept. 10-12 show the race now statistically tied, with John McCain at 47% and Barack Obama at 45% among registered voters.



These results, based on interviewing conducted Wednesday through Friday, indicate that the presidential contest is -- for now at any rate -- settling back into the close race that it was before the two weeks that marked both candidates' selections of their vice presidential running mates and the two conventions. In the weekend before the Democratic convention, the race was tied 45% to 45%. Now, as the "convention dust" is settling, the race is at 47% McCain, 45% Obama, only slightly different.

During the time period of the conventions, of course, the race underwent predictable "bounces" -- first for Obama, who with a one percentage point gain had moved out to an eight-point lead, and then for McCain, who moved out to a five-point lead. Now, it appears that the structure of the race -- after all the sturm und drang of the convention period -- ends up not all that different than when the conventions began.

Recent days have seen intense media focus on Republican vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin's widely publicized television interviews with Charles Gibson of ABC News, hard-hitting television ads, and the usual campaign back and forth. The next major planned event involving both candidates will be the first presidential debate on Sept. 26. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.) -- Frank Newport

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110353/Gallup-Daily-McCain-47-Obama-45.aspx

[tekisui]

1. Phalin Fatigue.

[GoesTo11]

2. My guess on daily numbers

Sept 6-8 McCain by 5.
Sept 9 McCain by 4
Sept 10 McCain by 3
Sept 11 McCain by 2
Sept 12 McCain by 1

These would match the 3 day totals. That would be a pretty clear trend of the convention bounce dissipating.