Poll: Obama Moves Into Double-Digit Iowa Lead, 52%-40%

[ClarkUSA]

The Des Moines Register poll is the acknowledged gold standard in Iowa.

"Top campaign advisers to Obama and McCain have said Iowa, where the past two presidential elections have been decided
by 10,000 votes and fewer, is in the top tier of swing states. However, there are signs in the poll that Obama has a healthy
advantage among key voter groups here."

Key finding: Obama wins independents, 49% to 36%.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20080913/NEWS09/80913038&theme=IOWA_POLL

Update: If Obama wins all the Kerry states and Iowa, all he would need is Virginia. Or New Mexico and Nevada. Or Colorado
and New Mexico. So if you're not already volunteering, get working now for Team Obama by phonebanking into battleground
states to get out the vote: http://my.barackobama.com/page/content/phonebankinglanding

Hat Tip to DC Bob for correcting my electoral math. :hi:

[Prefer]

1. Atlantic Station poll - based on tshirts I saw yesterday

Obama - 30
McCain - 2

(BTW I love the Purple and Gold Obama stamp shirt)

[alcibiades_mystery]

2. Iowa's done

Obama should hold it up as a model.

[terrya]

Yeah, that looks like a lock.

[PCIntern]

3. Good news. Here's a question:

I believe that McCain dissed Iowa in each of his Prez campaigns. Did he not think for one minute that this state, which is with NH, among the most politically aware states, might, just might be important?

[ClarkUSA]

14. McCain's bellicose pro-war stance is a bad fit for Iowa - Iowans also hate attack politics.

The Iowa Republican Party has been taken over by Christianists recently, which should depress the GOP turnout there
and/or drive many moderate Republicans and right-leaning indies to vote for Obama.

[catgirl]

4. Kick

Check off that state!

[terrya]

5. electoral-vote.com also mentioned that. Excellent!

That's great news!

[goldcanyonaz]

6. Time to send boots to Minnesota since it is now tied.

http://www.startribune.com/politics/national/president/28353589.html?elr=KArksc8P:Pc:UthPacyPE7iUiD3aPc:_Yyc:aUU

[The Velveteen Ocelot]

7. Looks like Iowans aren't buying what Miss Mooseburger and Captain Combover are selling.

White, rural Iowa.

[nevergiveup]

8. Iowa loves Obama

I know rednecks there that like him. Ohio will be the problem.

[progressoid]

42. And even us non-rednecks.

;) :hi:

[EV_Ares]

9. Yeah, when you look at a state by state view of the polls instead of that

stupid national daily tracking poll. Obama wins. That really looks more relevant than the national polls they do.

I can't imagine another 4 yrs of these idiots running this country K& on top of that Palin; what a nightmare.

[my3boyz]

10. The people of Iowa got to know and love the Obama family. If it wasn't

for Iowa we would not have this wonderful man as our nominee. Iowa was the key.

[ClarkUSA]

27. Unlike McCain/Palin, Obama/Biden is well-liked/loved, familiar, and admired in Iowa.

Obama is viewed as Iowa's native son, politically.

[mucifer]

11. every weekend people from Chicago are going there.

Also, Chicagoans are going to Wisconsin and Iowa.

[ClarkUSA]

28. That's awesome. Here in the northeast, we are working on PA and OH.

In California, all grassroots are being pointed to Nevada.

[BeyondGeography]

12. Nice...and so much more relevant than a national tracking poll

K&R

[GOPNotForMe]

13. IA would have brought Kerry to 258 votes, not 270.

It was important, but not the state that would have put Kerry over the edge, at least not by itself.

[DCBob]

15. This is great news but Kerry needed more than Iowa to win 2004

Kerry lost 286-252. Iowa has 7 EVs.

[usregimechange]

26. True but not that much more. VA or MO or OH or NM and CO

[DCBob]

33. Correct. I was just responding to the OP's original post....

that said Kerry would have won with Iowa.

[Kdillard]

16. Iowa has been good to Obama :)

[saltpoint]

17. Pretty encouraging numbers.

We'll be happy to have a blue Iowa this time.

[book_worm]

18. We own Iowa.

[DCBob]

19. This is great news but you still have it wrong. Obama would need both NM and NV even with IA.

VA+IA would or CO+NM+IA do it too!

[elocs]

20. This highlights that this is a 50 state election and not a national election.

National polls mean little when it is a state by state battle.

[Hope And Change]

21. K & R!Thanks for posting!

[DainBramaged]

22. Here is the ONLY poll to be concerned about

[Max_powers94]

25. Yeah!!!!! that is my speed right there....

her butt needs to be a little more bigger

[blue neen]

23. Excellent news.

:toast:

[Max_powers94]

24. Iowa is key...if we can win this state by a big margin then Obama wins election in a landslide

[rockymountaindem]

29. So all that matters now is holding on to NH and winning NM and CO

Sounds easy enough...

[ClarkUSA]

31. The greatest thing is Obama has many avenues to victory and is working on all of them.

Unlike McCain, who has only the 2000/2004 Bush maps.

Yes. We. Can. :toast:

[rockymountaindem]

32. Well, I made my remark before I saw that poll that says we're tied in Wisconsin

WTF?

[ClarkUSA]

35. Look at it as an outlier unless there's a defined trend.

Don't worry about it in the meantime.

[donco6]

36. Are you confident about CO?

I'm kinda nervous. All I see are Obama stickers and signs, but that's Denver, not eastern CO hicksville. And then there's CO Springs.

[darius15]

40. I'd say it's very close there. Probably a tie.

Debates will be huge.

[rockymountaindem]

44. I saw my fair share of them in the Springs while I was home this summer n/t

[Tutonic]

30. Look at education level of Iowan's. Obama all the way.

[chiefofclarinet]

34. Polls like this make me proud to be an Iowan!

I think the reasons that Iowa is no longer a swing state is many-fold.

1. Obama is from neighboring Illinois, which Eastern Iowa holds to a high esteem. (Western Iowa doesn't, but there isn't that many people out there.) McCain is from Arizona.

2. Obama was highly successful in the Iowa caucuses, coming from behind to beat "front-runner" Hillary Clinton. McCain was a dismal fourth place to Huckabee, Romney, and "Old Man" Thompson.

3. Obama has support of many of the key issues out here, like agricultural stuff. McCain is not for corn-produced ethanol, which is bad for his support here.

4. Iowans are generally more educational based than most other Midwest states. We can see through the BS that McCain is spewing.

There are many, many others, but the polls show that Iowans do not particularly like McCain.

[ClarkUSA]

38. It's my personal opinion that Iowans are the most savvy, high-information voters in America.

Having been there during the primary, I can attest to the veracity of your list.

[patrick t. cakes]

37. obama has iowa.

im in des moines and this town is crazy for him.
signs and bumper stickers everwhere.








nothing for mcCANE.
i havnt seen one sign and maybe one bumper sticker.

[budkin]

39. Winning Iowa will make it that much easier...

I think Ohio should be the focus of everything though.

[BumRushDaShow]

41. K&R

:kick:

[kayell]

43. k&r