Rasmussen 9/16/08 - McLame 48 (-1), Obama 47, Kos/Research 2000 Poll: Obama 48, McCain 44 (-1)

[MadBadger]

For the past two days, Obama has remained at 47 while McCain has dropped a point each day. In the Kos/Research 2000 poll, Obama has a 12 point lead among women

http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/09/16

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

[Jennicut]

1. Well, looks like the polls are finally reflecting that McLame's bounce is gone

[TwilightGardener]

2. Good--I'll take it. The trend is going our way.

[my3boyz]

3. Yeah but I still can't help but hope Obama will start going up

Just so Scarborough and Pat can stop bragging about how McCain is taking the lead.

[Roy]

8. Won't help

When Obama goes up... they just change pollsters.

There will always be one that tells them what they want to hear so they can keep the base pumped up.

This morning they went to college polls with question about which candidate is most like me.

Obama can't do well in that poll ever. Cuz they know the people they poll are aware that they don't have the intelligence or judgment of a person actually qualified to be pres.

[tallahasseedem]

4. This truly is great news...

we should find great optimism in the fact that McCain keeps dropping in the polls. Trust me, I can hand-wring with the best and this makes me happy! :)

[Hope And Change]

5. Good.K & R!But we have to continue to work hard to get Obama/Biden elected!

[SeaLyons]

6. Good news....

so glad to see a 12 point lead among women. Listening to the news, and hearing them say McNutts has a 20% lead among women is making me crazy.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

7. If Rasmussen & Research 2000 Used The Same Percentages For Party ID Their Results Would Be The Same

Research 2000- (D) 35% (R) 26% (Indy/Other/Refused) 39%


Rasmussen - (D) 39% (R) 34% (Indy/Other/Refused) 27%

[rockymountaindem]

10. The Research2000 poll does seem to undersample Republicans

I'm not sure I buy their results.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. I Looked At Princeton Survey's Poll From Saturday

It was (D) 37% (R) 31% (Indy/Other) 32%


http://www.newsweek.com/id/158636?tid=relatedcl

If you use those numbers it's virtually a tie...


Who knows?

You can massage the numbers until they say anything you want...In my scientific (sic) opinion the race is too close to call...

[DCal]

12. The trend is what is important

Research 2000 has used the same partisan mix in each daily sample and Obama has gone from -2 to +4 in about 10 days.

For Rasmussen, Obama has gone from -3 to -1 in two days. That is despite Rasmussen changing the partisan mix from D+7.6 to D+5.1 on Sunday.

[rockymountaindem]

13. Good point

That seems significant. However, I don't think that the R2000 poll proves Obama is ahead.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. If Rass Didn't Change His Numbers Obama Would Be Up By A Point Or Two

It's that close...

[Sugarcoated]

9. I does seem the winds are changing

Great to see this!