CBS/NY Times Poll: Obama 49, McCain 44 (LV)

[MadBadger]

CBS) In a sign that John McCain's convention bounce has dissipated, Barack Obama has taken a 48 percent to 43 percent lead over his Republican rival among registered voters in the latest CBS News/New York Times poll.

McCain had a two percentage point lead among registered voters in a CBS News poll released on September 8th, just after the Republican National Convention. Prior to the party conventions, Obama led McCain by 3 points.

In the new poll, the gap among likely voters is the same as it is among registered voters: Obama leads among those seen as likely to go to the polls in November 49 percent to 44 percent.

This race remains up for grabs. One-fourth of the electorate is now uncommitted, meaning they say they could still change their minds about their candidate or remain undecided entirely. Roughly twenty percent of both McCain and Obama supporters say they have not yet settled definitively on their chosen candidate.

Im digging into the crosstabs for more

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/09/17/opinion/polls/main4456249.shtml\

[nam78_two]

1. Thank God-c'mon America

Don't be duped with a package of Moosepoop yet again...

[yourout]

2. And this is likely before the market collapse.

[MadBadger]

4. Its in the middle. September 12-16

[codjh9]

3. I love that SuperObama photo...

[Larkspur]

5. This shows that goinng on the offensive helps

The best defense is an offense. Lombardi understood it and so did the Republicans.

Hope the Obama campaign keeps it up. Dems need an effective offensive ad attack along with promoting their ideas. What we are witnessing today is the beginning of the "Last Throes of Reaganism".

[tblue]

20. Absolutely! Never never NEVER let up.

TKO, baby. TKO.

[bemildred]

6. Polls are still bullshit.

But "Obama is winning" polls are more agreeable bullshit.

[cali]

15. actually, polls are a rough measure and a snapshot

they're not just hocus pocus or bullshit as you put it.

[musicblind]

19. Thank you n/t

[bettyellen]

28. the way they have manipulated sampling + deciding who are "likely voters"

has certain pollsters admitting what guesstimates they are lately. Mc Caines boost - 1/2 of that due to an increased sampling of Republicans based on a guess. No such adjustment was made after the Dem convention. Pollsters themselves can;t explain why.

[neverforget]

32. You're correct but they do serve as morale boosters, like this one, or

morale destroyers, like last weeks....

[Arugula Latte]

7. So will the media trumpet these Obama-is-ahead polls now like they

did when McCainus was leading? ... I won't hold my breath.

[FrenchieCat]

8. Naw....cause Obama should be winning it by 20 points

according to our facist anti American media.

[Marsala]

16. In fairness,

we also think that he should be winning by 20 points, and are furious that it is close at all.

[abumbyanyothername]

13. The media do have an interest in keeping it close

A direct economic interest in keeping the donations flowing in and the ads running.

And since Obama is going to win in a landslide, they have to skew the reporting on the polling information to favor McCain.

[progressiveforever]

9. Momentum is with us, but the fight is still on.

The momentum has shifted and it is going back our way. We will have to fight for every vote until and including November 4.

[Eric J in MN]

10. That's the kind of poll I like. May it stay that way through Election Night. NT

NT

[applegrove]

11. Hip Hip Hurray!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. The Gender Gap Is Twenty Two Points

That has to be one of the largest gender gaps in history...It appears the Palin gambit failed...

[tblue]

22. Dang! It didn't take long at all for Bloodlust Barbie to tank.

[RamboLiberal]

24. Wow - Quite a swing

Obama's advantage can be traced in part to independents, who favored Obama in late August, swung to McCain just after the Republican convention, and have now returned to Obama. Obama now leads McCain among independents 46 percent to 41 percent.

Obama now also leads McCain among women, a group that favored McCain by five points in polling taken just after the Republican convention, where Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin became the second woman ever to be nominated to a major party ticket.

Obama leads McCain 54 percent to 38 percent among all women. He holds a two point edge among white women, a 21 percentage point swing in Obama's direction from one week ago.

Palin’s favorable rating stands at 40 percent, down 4 points from last week. Her unfavorable rating, which stands at 30 percent, has risen eight points in the same time period. Her favorable rating among women has fallen 11 points in the past week.

http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/09/17/opinion/polls/main4456249.shtml

[shadowknows69]

14. Now I'm one of those people that says we shouldn't listen to polls

But yay! GOBama!

[Hope And Change]

17. K & R!

[elocs]

18. One fourth of the electorate is now uncommitted? They can't decided between steak and baloney?

I don't get this--what's the deal here? These people simply believe that there is so little difference between Obama and McCain that even after all this time they cannot make up their mind? Inconceivable.

[tblue]

23. Or between a MacBook Air and Univac?

Obama:


McCain:

[nsd]

21. Staying balanced is important.

We shouldn't have gotten too worked up when we were down, and we shouldn't get too excited now that we're up. Seven weeks to go and a lot of work to do.

[DeepModem Mom]

25. K&R

[WindRiverMan]

26. Good, Keep pounding em Obama

About time we were back on top where we belong.

[joshuasampson]

27. Meltdown

The Republican Party is in melt-down mode.

[RBInMaine]

29. KEEP KICKING MCCAIN'S ASS !! ATTACK THE SCUMBAGS HARD !!

[David Zephyr]

30. I'm on my knees at this point. Thank the heavens from an agnostic.

I'll take anything we can get.

[I LIKE IKE 61]

31. ,,

I saw that poll. Lets hope it holds. The debates are going to ruin the McCain/Pailin ticket. She will do poorly. If we get a boost then we are home free. :)

[KathieG]

33. Woot!

:bounce::bounce::bounce: