Obama 50 McCain 42 - DKos Research 2000 tracking poll (09/20)

[ps1074]

OBAMA 50
MCCAIN 42

MEN O44 M47
WOMEN O56 M37

DEM O86 M10
REP O6 M88
IND 046 M41

NORTHEAST O60 M33
SOUTH O39 M50
MIDWEST O53 M38
WEST O52 M40

FAV / UNFAV
OBAMA 57 36
MCCAIN 44 45
BIDEN 47 34
PALIN 40 47

http://www.dailykos.com/dailypoll/2008/09/20

[MoJoWorkin]

1. Yes!!! You beat me to the post--- I was looking for this today.

I hope we break 50% in ALL of the polls soon!

[Hope And Change]

2. SCREW THE POLLS AND WORK YOUR ASSES TO GET OBAMA/BIDEN ELECTED!!!

Still it`s good news.Thanks for posting.K & R! :7

[my3boyz]

3. Wow! Obama's kicking McCain's @ss all over the country except the south.

Dems are coming home. And look at Obama's favorables! McCain's unfavorable number is higher than his favor number. So are Palins! They deserve it. I hope this continues to hold.

[Hope And Change]

4. Wait until the Trooper Gate heats up.

[Curtland1015]

5. Nice! I was just saying to my wife that I bet we break 50 next week!

Keep on movin!!!

[Kdillard]

6. Cool I hope this trend continues with the other polls.

[Kdillard]

7. delete

[RBInMaine]

8. GOOD !! BUT WORK WORK WORK AND ATTACK ATTACK ATTACK RELENTLESSLY !!!!

[regnaD kciN]

9. Very slight drop from the last two days...

They were both 50-42, today's 49-42. Easily accountable to statistical noise.

What's interesting is to watch the breakdown by party affiliation. In the early days of this poll, with Obama up by two or so points, the margin was entirely due to the higher weighting of Democratic turnout. Democrats were for Obama around 85-13, Republicans for McCain by a larger margin of around 90-7, and independents and "others" went for McCain by about five points. Now, Obama has slightly increased his lead among Democrats, McCain's support has slipped among Republicans...and Obama now leads among the other two groups. If Democrats can be convinced to "come home" to Obama in the same amount as Republicans do for their candidate, this might not even be all that close.

(Of course, you do know Obama's lead is likely to slightly decline over the next two days..."weekend polling" effect and all that...)

And another point: while McCain continues to lead (only) in the south, and comfortably so, notice that his numbers there are in danger of dropping below the 50% mark.

[loyalkydem]

10. I hope we

have another week like last week. Keep embarrassing that prick McBush