Obama hits 50% today in the Gallup Daily Tracking - I found the graph (correct date) O 50% - M 44%

[Pirate Smile]

I changed yesterday's date to today's and presto!

This will tie his record high after the Democratic National Convention (see below).

OK - here is today's:

September 20, 2008
Gallup Daily: Obama 50%, McCain 44%Obama maintains lead


Obama has held at least a small margin over McCain in each of the last four daily reports, generally coincident with the start of the Wall Street financial meltdown that began to dominate the news on Monday this past week. Separate Gallup consumer confidence tracking has shown that Americans' views of the economy deteriorated as the week progressed, and that Americans also began to express increased personal worry about their own finances. There is thus a reasonable inference that Obama's gains may, in part, be related to the way in which the public viewed his and McCain's response to the financial crisis. Friday's economic news was a bit more positive, with the announcement of a pending major U.S. government bailout for the country's economy, and the second day of significant increases in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and other stock market indices. It remains to be seen if this will affect Obama's lead in the days ahead.

Obama's current 50% rating matches his 50% record high reached just after the Democratic National Convention. (That came in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.) However, his current six percentage point advantage is not as large as the nine-point lead he held in late July and an eight-point lead after the Democratic National Convention in late August. It is important to note that McCain recovered and moved ahead after each of these Obama high points, suggesting that it is certainly possible that McCain could recover in this situation as well.

Both candidates will be on stage at the University of Mississippi this coming Friday for the first of three presidential debates, and the public's reactions to the candidates' performances there could certainly have an impact on their election standing. (To view the complete trend since March 7, 2008, click here.) -- Frank Newport

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110500/Gallup-Daily-Obama-50-McCain-44.aspx

He also hit 50% today in the Research 2000/Daily Kos Daily Tracking Poll:


Yesterday, he was at 49%. McCain was at 44%

This is Friday's:

September 19, 2008
Gallup Daily: Obama Now Leads McCain by 5 Points

At 49%, support for Obama is near his record high for the year



This is the fourth consecutive day that Obama has inched forward in voter preferences since the start of the Wall Street financial meltdown beginning with the announcement on Sunday, Sept. 14, that Lehman Brothers was headed for bankruptcy. The overall effect has been to shift the lead back to Obama after McCain had moved ahead following the Republican National Convention.

Obama's current 49% rating is close to his 50% record high reached just after the Democratic National Convention. (That came in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from Aug. 30-Sept. 1.) However, his current five-point advantage is still lower than his 9-point lead in late July (following his trip to Europe and the Middle East) and his 8-point leads right after the Democratic National Convention in late August.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110533/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Now-Leads-McCain-Points.aspx

This is Today's R2K Tracking Poll:

9/20 Daily Kos R2K Tracking Poll: Obama 50, McCain 42
by DemFromCT
Sat Sep 20, 2008 at 05:09:37 AM PDT

Today's Daily Kos Research 2000 tracking poll has Obama up by over McCain 50-42 (LV, MoE +/- 3).

Notable is Sarah Palin's - 7 fav/unfav, and McCain's - 1, suggesting further erosion in that ticket's standing (see trendlines.)



http://www.dailykos.com/story/2008/9/20/72946/2597/634/604491

Obama finally took the lead in Rasmussen.

"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Saturday shows Barack Obama with 48% of the vote and John McCain with 47%."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


I don't think the Diageo/Hotline Daily Tracker Poll comes out on the weekends so we wont hear from them until Monday.

[Arugula Latte]

1. Like that trend line.

I want to see McCain go below 40, though. :evilgrin:

[johnnyrocket]

30. Time to go for the kill while their 'weak'...DONATE, VOLUNTEER

Take the Republicans DOWN!!!

[flamingdem]

37. We cannot afford complacency because for sure they are cooking up TRICKS

By Halloween we'll know what Rove is doing to counter Obama big time and then we'll freak out again for sure... meantime let's work like there's no tomorrow and this is our last chance at survival in the USA

[VolcanoJen]

2. Nice work, clever one!!

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce:

[Pirate Smile]

25. Thank you.

:evilgrin:

[BumRushDaShow]

3. Good enough for me.

Although they will find something to bring that right back down.

[Dawgs]

4. Much better!!

I think this economic mess will force many undecideds to become somewhat strong Obama supporters.

[CATagious]

5. Awesome!

Hopefully McCain is back under the 44 ceiling the rest of the way!

[Mz Pip]

6. THe more people hear

McCain's psychotic babbling the less comfortable they should be envisioning him in charge of this country.

He sounded bizarre and disjointed yesterday. Blaming Obama for this mess was pretty silly.

[sharp_stick]

7. One nice thing with this

is that McCains numbers aren't moving. To me this indicates movement among the undecided and independent to Obama instead of McCain which should show us a decrease in the percentage of undecideds soon. If all goes well, and I think it will, we should next start to see McCains numbers start to drop as his soft supporters move to the undecided column and then into Obamas.

All this of course is IMO and with obvious bias and hope.

[Celebrandil]

28. Don't relax yet...

Unfortunately, these independents might disappear in an instance if something happens in the world. If the Rep want to win, they just have to start a little war or something.

[yourguide]

8. was the last time he hit 50% the convention bump?

hitting 50 with no bump from a big event is very good news.

[Pirate Smile]

13. Yes. It is his all time high. He now has hit it twice.

[yourguide]

19. without a bump from a convention

that is big news!

[Sodan]

22. big "event" = issues - not lipstick ;)

[yourguide]

23. I would be very encouraged

if the next 6 weeks were all issues. will be good for our team.

[yourguide]

24. I would be very encouraged

if the next 6 weeks were all issues. will be good for our team.

[gblady]

9. GOBAMA!

:applause:

[OmahaBlueDog]

10. a) Nice work but b) National Polls are meaningless

..and I'm not best pleased by recent developments in NoDak, Iowa, and other battlegrounds.

Having said that, I do like the trend :-)

[caledesi]

29. I smell pizza! nt

[VolcanoJen]

34. Once you clear the 48% benchmark....

... national polls become quite meaningful, actually.

[MoJoWorkin]

11. YES! n/t

[jefferson_dem]

12. Sweetness!

Typically, Fridays are poorer polling days for Obama, as we see his numbers static or dip in Saturday's release from Gallup.

This is good news indeed!

Thanks!

[AzNick]

14. Can I say "FUCK YEAH"?

I usually do not swear, it's against my religion (not kidding).

Can I swear just that one time? Please?

[samsingh]

15. i wonder what rass is polling?

[Pirate Smile]

17. I added it - O 48% - M 47%. Ras changed their weighting to include more Republicans after the

RNC because they said more people are now calling themselves Republicans. The new weighting has definitely helped McCain in their polling IMO.

[Kolesar]

21. And despite Rasmussen counting more republicans, Obama is ahead 1% (within MOE*, I am sure)

*Margin of Error

[samsingh]

40. |Rass is such a lying pos outfit

[Upton]

16. What a difference a week makes

lets hope things stay trending in Obama's direction.

[VolcanoJen]

18. Talked to a couple off-duty cops last night.

To make ends meet, they work as security guards at my workplace overnight. They're terrific guys, but traditional Bush-voting conservatives.

Last night, while hanging out in the lobby and watching CNN, they both told me they're with Obama. They're far more frustrated with the Palin pick than with the economy right now, although I imagine the economy will move even more people toward Obama.

They told me that cops are very, very anti-Palin due to the TrooperGate story, which I found fascinating.

The dam may very well be breaking.

[Pirate Smile]

26. I'm not surprised. The guy got disciplined through the system but it wasn't enough for Palin. I

can see why that would piss off cops.

[VolcanoJen]

33. Exactly.

Cops are rather fraternal, and sometimes in a very good way. They see Trooper Wooten as being rail-roaded by some power-hungry sister-in-law who had chosen sides during a nasty divorce.

It's probably not unlike their own personal experiences, or those of their coworkers.

They feel strongly that Trooper Wooten paid the price through his suspension, and Palin's actions since are a clear abuse of power.

It's just fascinating.

[endthewar]

20. BOOYAH!!!

:bounce: :bounce: :bounce:

[Tyler Generation]

27. PLEASE DON'T GET LAZY!!!

Please keep working like Obama is 20 points behind! My worst fear is complacency spoiling this election!

[VolcanoJen]

36. No worries.

The Palin and economic news has more of us working harder than ever before.

[4_Legs_Good]

31. Woo hoooo! Great to be back at 50%

That's great news. It's interesting to note, however, that the uptick has all been Obama and McSame has stayed steady at 44% for the past several days. I wonder if that's his low peg? I think he can go lower, now let's see him do it.

David

[AtomicKitten]

32. Eat his dust, McBush.

[flamingdem]

35. Yum. That tastes good.

:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9:9

[President Decider]

38. OBAMA: GOING UP! ... There will be no looking back now.

[Jennicut]

39. Hitting 50!

Made my day and I feel terrible with a cold so this makes me feel better. :)

[samsingh]

41. Gallup showing repug bias

why would they write:

. It is important to note that McCain recovered and moved ahead after each of these Obama high points, suggesting that it is certainly possible that McCain could recover in this situation as well.


why is it important? why would they say this unless they are comforting their fellow repugs?

[PermanentRevolution]

43. Didn't they make a big deal right after the RNC convention...

About how only one candidate had ever regained a lead after trailing following the conventions? Seems like reality is interfering with their narrative, and they're displeased.

[samsingh]

45. their bias stinks

[David Zephyr]

42. 50% in a national poll is big news: it means solidification of opinion. Hard solidification.

50%

[vanderBeth]

44. w00t!!!!!!!!!

:woohoo: