cali
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Tue Sep-23-08 08:27 AM
Original message |
Rasmussen: Tied. Obama 48%. McCain 48%. For what it's worth. |
Curtland1015
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Tue Sep-23-08 08:28 AM
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1. So that means we're winning by, what... 5%? |
five_horizons
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Tue Sep-23-08 08:34 AM
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2. COUGH *bullshit* COUGH |
Nicholas D Wolfwood
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Tue Sep-23-08 09:28 AM
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3. Well, Hotline/Diageo and DKos/R2000 have us up 5 and Gallup is +4 |
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I don't think there's any question that Ras is an outlier at this point.
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scheming daemons
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Tue Sep-23-08 09:32 AM
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4. Rasmussen is oversampling Republicans... read the internals |
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They have 38% Dems, 33% Repugs.
Sorry.... but check the registration numbers this year.... the electorate is likely to be 40%+ Dems and less than 30% Repugs.
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writes3000
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Tue Sep-23-08 11:03 AM
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6. And I question their likely voter model. |
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If one poll is far different from the rest, you have to question their system.
I think Rasmussen is too Rep friendly. Research2000 seems too Dem friendly.
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uponit7771
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Tue Sep-23-08 11:05 AM
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7. Right, DNC has registered 11,000,000 million more voters this year IIRC |
okieinpain
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Tue Sep-23-08 11:00 AM
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5. Palin 47%, Biden 44% in Make-believe |
Sensitivity
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Tue Sep-23-08 11:19 AM
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8. Gallup is using REGISTERED VOTERS but RAS is using LIKELY VOTERS. Difference is expected |
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Wed Apr 17th 2024, 03:57 PM
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