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We're there...state by state, based on polls, we have 283 EV. Now, we just need to hold them.

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Godhumor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 09:54 AM
Original message
We're there...state by state, based on polls, we have 283 EV. Now, we just need to hold them.
Edited on Tue Sep-23-08 09:55 AM by Godhumor
Not celebrating or doing a premature happy dance, but I think we're in a lot better position trying to maintain a lead then playing catch up.

www.electoral-vote.com
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BlooInBloo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 09:57 AM
Response to Original message
1. The best available models show that we have likely 312 EV, and a win % of 75%.....
Fuck that "hold them". IMPROVE more!

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
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Godhumor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 10:00 AM
Response to Reply #1
4. I want over 300 before November 4th lined up, but I am glad we're 13 over 270 at this point, too
I love fivethirtyeight, and what the model shows, but I like where we stand today, as well.
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mikekohr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 10:01 AM
Response to Reply #1
5. Drive a stake into their black hearts
The bigger the victory the greater the mandate, the more expansive the coattails.

mike kohr
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UnrepentantUnitarian Donating Member (887 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 09:59 AM
Response to Original message
2. Need More, More, More...and More

...never forget the racism factor. It's there, and it's real.
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SuperTrouper Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 09:59 AM
Response to Original message
3. Here is what I think will happen:
Maine (4) Obama
Colorado (9) Obama
Minnesota (10) Obama
Wisconsis (10) Obama
Michigan (17) Obama
Pennsylvania (21) Obama
Virginia (13) Toss up...If we hold the others and give VA to McSame Obama will still get elected and that includes giving Ohio to McSame. So as of today, Obama is sitting in great shape and I believe he will win with more than 300 electoral votes.
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Chan790 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 10:10 AM
Response to Reply #3
7. I think that's correct...
I think NH goes McCain though. That boggles my mind since I'm there frequently and I don't understand why...I can only give you anecdotals but these people do/did not like Palin.

I don't know what else changed.
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Nicholas D Wolfwood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 10:05 AM
Response to Original message
6. We need to shore up Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Colorado
Especially PA - there is no good excuse for us to be polling that close in that state.
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ailsagirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Sep-23-08 10:13 AM
Response to Original message
8. Damn, that looks good. Thanks for posting!
:bounce:
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