538.com has been updatedL Obama 317 EV's 77% win chance.

[PerfectSage]

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

OH and NV shift from white to back from the previous day's light blue. IN and FL shift from light red to white. I don't think I've ever seen FL white? and I know I've never seen IN white. :bounce::bounce::bounce::bounce::bounce: Obama was arround this EV level in July before the model was changed to project the race to tighten.

[Abacus]

1. "Oops"

Oops

Ignore the numbers you see for the time being -- unintentionally overwrote some code when running the simulation a moment ago and it spit out some bad results. Everything will be fixed within 10 or 15 minutes.

[PerfectSage]

8. Not liking that oops very much. OH went from 58 to 52 win% and FL from 50 to 44 win %

[racaulk]

2. I like this graph too!

The trend over the last few days has been incredible!

:bounce:

[Patsy Stone]

3. Here's to Florida being blue

when all is said and done.

:toast:

[pinto]

4. As much as I rankle at the constant polling, these two guys have a great website,

and an upfront description of their methodology. Even this non statistical political aficionado can follow their reasoning.

I see there's been a glitch, which they noted.

[Gore1FL]

5. it was short lived--but the corrected numbers are still good!

[progressiveforever]

6. Happy birthday to my 17 yr old- he can't sleep when the polls are bad

I raised a real Dem and Barack is his hero. The 24th is his birthday and this will be a great gift--thanks, PerfectSage

[demosincebirth]

7. I have a 7yr old grand daughter who is campaigning for Obama and

every time she hears or reads a poll, where Obama is ahead, she runs to me and tells me. Yup, she's a real democrat.