McCain Camp reacts to ABC News/WashPost poll giving Obama +9 lead: Poll is "is an outlier"

[sabra]

http://thepage.time.com/2008/09/24/polls-statistics-and-the-truth/

McCain polling czar Bill McInturff holds media call on latest data.

Suggests that the ABC News/WashPost poll released Wednesday is an outlier, and that if the orgs repeat the poll this week they would have McCain back in a statistical tie.

Adds: “We’re not seeing any volatility that’s been so great in public opinion” that would have produced such data.

Also asserts that in most battleground states it’s a margin-of-error race, says he has no clue how the debates will affect polling — “that’s what makes them exciting.”

Call in apparent response to some national and state survey stats suggesting an Obama semi-surge.

And/but Democratic super-pollster Mark Mellman:

“Some will suggest the turn (to Obama) is a reaction to the Wall Street meltdown. While that is certainly possible, in reality the trend toward Obama was firmly in place even before talk of bailouts dominated the headlines.”

[NJmaverick]

1. So now the polls are in the tank for Obama

the McCain people are really getting pathetic.

[cottonseed]

18. Either that or the voters are in the tank for Obama

and the polls are right ;-)

[Kurt_and_Hunter]

2. And it will be an outlier until the next two polls come out. Then it will be average.

[Jennicut]

3. Just keep lying to yourself McLiar.

The polls are all moving in Obama's direction.

[WI_DEM]

4. it is larger than any other poll, but then all the polls have been trending to Obama of late.

[Jeff In Milwaukee]

5. The other polls will catch up...

Particularly after Friday night. When McCain starts babbling incoherently, people will start seriously considering the prospect of a Palin Presidency. The polls over the weekend are going to show a tidal wave.

[Schulzz]

6. Which one might be the outlier?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

The 7 polls (with Research 2000) that show Obama leading, or the one that shows McCain leading.

Must be one that shows an Obama lead!

:sarcasm:

[jberryhill]

12. The outlier is McCain - He's Out Lying Every Day /nt

[TheZug]

7. With voting beginning this week, it's a great time to be pulling ahead.

McInsane's people must be going nuts.

[TheDonkey]

8. Memo to Obama: BURY HIM

Let's double that 9pt lead by swatting McClown down at the debates. This will not be easy.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

9. "Big" Polls Like WAPO, NYT, And Gallup Drive The Agenda

~

[NatBurner]

10. didn't this dork say he LIKED being behind in the polls?

well enjoy it, asshole

[jberryhill]

11. It's not fair - because the voters are biased

We'll be hearing that from these yo-yo's on November 5th.

[tritsofme]

13. It probably is an outlier.

5% of all polls, even if conducted under perfect conditions will be complete crap.

[Betsy Ross]

14. deleted

[ClarkUSA]

15. WaPo/ABC poll is rated the #1 national poll among pollsters, so the McCain camp is blowing hot air.

They are running scared.

[rlb]

17. The Truth...

I don't want any polls or media leaning towards anyone.  I
want the facts so we can really know what's going on and react
correctly.  What is the best poll to watch? Any oppinions?

[ClarkUSA]

19. Go here ------------->

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com has the best analysis by a brilliant statistician named Nate Silver, whose track record on
predicting primary outcome margins were far better than any known pollster.

Take a cue from David Plouffe, Obama's number-crunching guru: ignore national polls. Only look at battleground state
polls' underlying numbers. Team Obama is constantly running internal polling on the states in question -- they never
pay attention to national polls.

[MadrasT]

16. Next thing you know, they'll accuse the Dems of

stealing the election :rofl: