Thanks in part to Palin, McCain now much worse among white women

[ProSense]

by kos
Wed Sep 24, 2008 at 07:49:59 PM PDT

From Dan Balz, one of the Washington Post's senior political writers:

Other aspects of the poll may be more problematic for McCain than the overall margin, however. The survey suggests that McCain and his running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, got a real bounce from their convention, but that, as with bounces of the past, it has dissipated. Whether that's because of the new focus on the economy, a natural settling or other factors is less important than the fact that what went up has begun to come down.

Take Palin. There's no question that she has energized the Republican base. The crowd she drew in Florida on Sunday -- estimated at up to 60,000 people -- says she's captured the fancy of the party faithful. But the Post-ABC poll shows that independents are notably less impressed with her today than they were in the week after she made her national debut.

Actually, the McCain campaign claimed 60,000. Apparently, the real number was less than half that, but hey, for Republicans that were previously (and jealously) sneering at Obama's "celebrity", that's still pretty good. But it's clear that her waning fortunes are costing the McCain campaign much of the advantages she seemed to bring to the ticket early on, and the news media is noticing.

Benchmarking Palin's crowd (not 60,000, not half that):

Kerry in Minnesota: 30,000




Obama in Oregon: 75,000




Kerry in Wisconsin: 80,000




Palin in Florida: tens of thousands?

[ProSense]

1. My guess:

4K to 6K people, tops.

[karynnj]

2. The Kerry and Obama pictures are awesome

What seas of people.

[Beartracks]

3. Those ARE cool. n/t

[ProSense]

6. There are some amazing crowd shots out there.

Huge!

[Cha]

4. They overstate palin's crowds and

understate Obama's and anyone else's who's a Dem and draws big crowds.

[ProSense]

5. From another angle

About 4K?

[jab105]

7. My motherinlaw lives in the Villages, and that area is not

big enough for 60,000 people...every station has said 60,000 though (local stations)...proof is in the pictures...probably at max 20,000...

[ProSense]

8. Interesting. I think it's even less than that. n/t