***Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll Sept 25*** Obama 49% McCain 46%

[Demi_Babe]

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll
Thursday, September 25, 2008
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The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows Barack Obama attracting 49% of the vote while John McCain earns 46%. Other than the bounces related to his convention and speech in Berlin, this is the first time Obama has had 49% support on back-to-back days since early July. It’s also McCain’s lowest level of support in nearly three weeks (see trends).

Results are released every day at 9:30 a.m. Eastern and a FREE daily e-mail update is available. (Premium Members can get the inside scoop with an advance look at the results).

New polling released this morning shows Obama with a two-point advantage in North Carolina. Data will be released today for Ohio, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia.

[TwilightGardener]

1. Yearrghhh!! And up two points in NC!!

[Demi_Babe]

2. woooohoooo

[Marsala]

3. Holy sh#t

Even Rasmussen is swinging Obama's way. If Ohio and Pennsylvania are more red than North Carolina, something is clearly wrong with the polling... so they probably won't be.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

4. Freeper Heads Will Explode

That poll is the sine qua non for Freeptards!

[Nicholas D Wolfwood]

5. Ras indicates bigger changes ahead

Tracking poll results are based upon nightly telephone interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. The overwhelming majority of the interviews for today’s report were completed before the President’s speech last night. However, it is worth noting that results for the past two individual nights of polling were quite a bit weaker for McCain.

That indicates that McChicken's being propped up by one particular night of polling, and if today's polling continues to be bad (which lord knows it absolutely should be even worse), tomorrow's margin could bottom out for McChicken.

[sunnystarr]

6. If Rasmussen is reporting a 3 pt spread for Obama then

we know it's really a 6 point spread!!

[Submariner]

7. Not to be negative

but I look at a 3 point lead as more like dead even. The Bradly effect is my concern, especially with right wing pollers. We need to crush the McCainiacs with a high enough percentage win to negate the racist element.

[scheming daemons]

8. The "Bradley Effect" is way overstated...

It is an effect that might have been worht up to 5% about 30 years ago.

But today is not 30 years ago.


Since most of the tracking polls use automated messages and touch-tone answers... there is no reason for the Bradley Effect, which means that people are reluctant to tell pollsters that they're racists, would be in play.

People simply push 1 for McCain or 2 for Obama.. to a RECORDED voice.

[Marsala]

9. Don't worry

Rasmussen already has the Bradley effect built in, with his over-weighting of Republicans from the bounce. Anyway, the Bradley effect probably no longer exists according to Nate Silver.

[Alter Ego]

11. The Bradley effect will be a nonfactor at the polls this year.

[Alter Ego]

10. Three points is actually really good for Rasmussen--typically the race

stays closer than that.