Predict the popular and electoral vote

Feanorcurufinwe

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:03 PM
Original message

Predict the popular and electoral vote

Edited on Tue Sep-07-04 10:18 PM by Feanorcurufinwe

My prediction:

Popular vote:
Kerry 55% Bush 43% Other 2%

Electoral vote:
Kerry 327 Bush 211

Useful electoral vote calculator: http://www.nytimes.com/packages/html/politics/2004_ELECTIONGUIDE_GRAPHIC

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

richmwill

(972 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:07 PM
Response to Original message

1. I wish I had your optimism

Edited on Tue Sep-07-04 10:07 PM by richmwill

I will say, however-

Popular-
Kerry 51%, Bush 47%, Others 2%

Electoral-
Kerry 290, Bush 248

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

troublemaker

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:12 PM
Response to Original message

2. I wish I had YOUR optimism

Edited on Tue Sep-07-04 10:13 PM by troublemaker

Popular-
Kerry 62%, Bush 36%, Others 2%

Electoral-
Bush 270, Kerry 268

(kidding on the square)

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

richmwill

(972 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:15 PM
Response to Reply #2

5. Haha

Thank you- that was my biggest laugh I had today. :)

The Bloodless Coup of 2000 revisited- if that happens again, I don't know what I would do.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Feanorcurufinwe

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:17 PM
Response to Reply #5

6. nt

Edited on Tue Sep-07-04 10:19 PM by Feanorcurufinwe

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

tedoll78

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:14 PM
Response to Original message

3. I'll predict:

Edited on Tue Sep-07-04 10:20 PM by tedoll78

Popular Vote:
Kerry: 49.5%
Bush: 48.5%
Other: 2%

Electoral Vote:
Kerry-Edwards: 280
Bush-Cheney: 258

I'm convinced that it'll be a close fight to the death where GOTV puts the nail in the Chimp's coffin.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Awsi Dooger

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:19 PM
Response to Reply #3

7. That's fuzzy math, tedoll78!

But as long as that extra 1% is in our favor...:)

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

tedoll78

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:20 PM
Response to Reply #7

8. D'oh!

That's pretty sad for someone who minored in math..

:silly:

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

NYC Liberal

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:14 PM
Response to Original message

4. My prediction

Edited on Tue Sep-07-04 10:17 PM by NYC Liberal

I think it's going to be pretty close, though not as close as 2000.

Popular Vote
Kerry - 50%
Bush - 48%
Other - 2%

Electoral Vote
Kerry - 274
Bush - 264

Edit: I used this to do the electoral vote.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

mvd

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 10:25 PM
Response to Original message

9. Popular vote

Kerry 52%
Bush 46%
Other 2%

Electoral vote:

Kerry 340
Bush 198

And my electoral vote prediction gave Bush a close WV win. Guess I'm frustrated with that state. I put Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Arkansas, Nevada, and Missouri in our column.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Feanorcurufinwe

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 11:41 PM
Response to Reply #9

10. I started with the 2000 map

gave FL to Bush, NH, NV, MO, OH, TN to Kerry... of course, in that scenario, if we lose OH, MO, and TN it's a 269-269 tie.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

johnnyrocket

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Tue Sep-07-04 11:47 PM
Response to Reply #10

11. 269-269 tie means Bush wins...

GOP congress votes him right back into power.

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

Feanorcurufinwe

(1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore

Wed Sep-08-04 12:00 AM
Response to Reply #11

12. Well I don't think we'll lose MO and OH and FL

we've got at least one of those

Printer Friendly | Permalink | | Top

DU AdBot (1000+ posts)

Sat May 04th 2024, 01:04 AM
Response to Original message

Advertisements [?]

Top

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators

Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.