Give McCain Every State in which Obama is not at 50% in the RCP average and ...

[kennetha]

Obama still wins 291 - 247. This gives McCain many toss-up states on the theory that late deciders will break for him. But as far as I can see this is the absolutely best case scenario for McCain. To actually win the election, besides wining all the close states where Obama hasn't yet reached 50% or better, McCain would have to steal either Pennsylvania plus one other state or VA + either CO or both of NM and NV.


This simply ISN'T going to happen.

My prediction, Obama wins with at least 291 EV and probably more, but certainly no less than 291.

[TNMOM]

1. I hope you're right. But I won't be satisfied unless it's a landslide.

[ProgressiveEconomist]

2. YES! All 238 'Solid Obama' EVs have 50%+ polls, along with 53 of 73 'Leaning': LINK

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain