ARG POLLS: Obama - 4 in AZ, +7 in CO, tied in MO, -3 in MT, +15 in NH.

[jefferson_dem]

ARG polls are dodgy at best. Nonetheless, for edification purposes, here ya go --

State McCain Obama Other Undecided

AZ 50% 46% 1% 3%
CO 45% 52% - 4%
MO 48% 48% - 3%
MT 49% 46% 1% 4%
NH* 41% 56% - 2%

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

[MadBadger]

1. I think those are dead on.

[jefferson_dem]

3. They all seem to fit right in the typical trendlines, eh.

n/t

[gratefultobelib]

2. We are working SO hard here in MO!!

[jefferson_dem]

4. Thanks for your service, gratefultobelib!

It would be fabulous to paint MO, the bellwether of bellwethers, blue this year. :bounce:

[Thrill]

5. I normally think ARG is full of crap

But those are realistic.

[Thrill]

6. Schweitzer said he thought Obama would win MT by 1-2% because Paul will get 6%

This was on Ed Schultz show

[nomorenomore08]

7. That's another thing - what about the Paul Effect?

It could very well hand MT and NV to Obama, not to mention causing McCain problems in other states/counties.

My anecdotal evidence here is that I passed through eastern Oregon and Washington back in May, on a trip, and while I saw very few signs or stickers for McCain, there was Ron Paul stuff all over the place.

[David in Canada]

8. Re: Ron Paul

Due to some grassroots efforts, Ron Paul is on the general election ballot in Louisiana and in Montana.

In Montana, he was nominated by the local chapter of the Constitution Party because they considered their national party nominee to not be wingnut enough.

In Louisiana, he was put on the ballot by some local grassroots supporters. In Louisiana (I am not sure about Montana), his running-mate is former California Rep. Barry Goldwater, Jr.

IF Lousiana is close enough on election day AND enough wingnuts consider McCain "too socialist", Obama could win by a plurality.

[cliffordu]

9. Yep - the ultra paul boneheads out in Eastern Washington are all over the place -