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In ten years, what will be the new blue states and what will be the new red states?

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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:21 AM
Original message
In ten years, what will be the new blue states and what will be the new red states?

The political landscape is always shifting as people move around or a boom occurs in one place or another. For example Nevada use to be a solid red state but an influx of Hispanics in the Las Vegas area have tipped it our way. Virginia is shifting blue because of the growing population up north.

So what other changes might occur? Anyone see their state shifting one way or another? Where do you see things in 10 years?
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Democat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:24 AM
Response to Original message
1. Which states are trending toward red?
Need a list to avoid on vacation. :hippie:
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Quixote1818 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #1
2. Maybe West Virginia

But for the most part things seem to be trending our way. The older folks tend to be the most socially conservative and they are slowly dying off. Hispanics are a growing voting block which helps us. More liberal people are moving from the North East to Florida. Colorado has more Hispanics and a growing number of younger voters.

Right now everything is shifting our way. I guess West Virginia, which use to be more of a Blue state has become more of a Red state. Don't quite Know why.
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msblueinredstate Donating Member (84 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. Mississippi will
stay red until hell freezes over!! :mad:
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Democat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:45 AM
Response to Reply #2
7. It does seem like more areas are moving toward blue than red
Edited on Sat Nov-01-08 12:45 AM by Democat
In the big picture, Americans do not seem to be becoming more socially conservative, even if they sometimes tell pollsters they are.
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FVZA_Colonel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:36 AM
Response to Original message
4. Given likely demographic changes, we might have a shot at making Texas blue by 2016.
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Blue_In_AK Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:37 AM
Response to Original message
5. Alaska will return to its Democratic roots.
We're just getting sick of this Republican corruption. Sarah promised to be something different -- and she's turned out to be as bad as the rest of them. This state was solidly Democratic at its inception 50 years ago, and I see us returning to those golden days in the future.
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Juche Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:37 AM
Response to Original message
6. southwest is going blue
Edited on Sat Nov-01-08 12:48 AM by Juche
Due to the growing latino population so New Mexico, Colorado, Nevada & Arizona. I have read that by 2016, due to the growing and enfranchised hispanic population combined with the growth of populations in large cities, Texas will become a swing state. If so, then it'll be over for a long time for the GOP if they cannot win back the hispanic vote and if they keep up the bigotry that won't happen.

As far as states trending red, I really don't know. At least in this political climate it seems unrealistic. As long as the GOP is the party of bigotry and small mindedness I don't see new england or the west coast trending red. As far as the northern midwest (Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Wisconsin) I assume minnesota may go red sometime in the future, but I'm not too worried about it right now. Iowa is normally a blue state but went red in 2004, now it is solidly blue again with Obama ahead by at least 11%.

Even the south is trending blue (doesn't mean it'll go blue, just trending that way). Youth voters aren't as influenced by racial divisions, minorities are becoming more empowered and there is an influx of people from other states looking for work.

The fact that in 2004 it was essentially a given that Kerry would lose all 13 southern states (maybe carry FLorida) while Obama is looking like he will win 3 of them (Virginia, NC, FL) as well as getting close in Georgia should give the GOP pause. Esp when you consider Texas possibly being a swing state in 2012 or 2016.
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TheFarseer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:50 AM
Response to Original message
8. are any states trending Red?
maybe Hawaii. maybe NJ and CT? There's a list as long as your arm trending Blue and there's no maybe about most of them!
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GDoyle Donating Member (219 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:05 AM
Response to Reply #8
10. Nah
Nah none of those three. The only one really is West Virginia has gone red. So many are going blue, like Colorado, Arizona, Nevada and Virginia (and North Carolina and South Carolina coming soon) it makes no difference.
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abumbyanyothername Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:55 AM
Response to Original message
9. Basically I think everything trends blue
as baby boomers become seniors and the greatest generation dies off. A significant portion of boomers will always be singing "Where have all the flowers gone" and such, regardless of age, wealth or whatever. Coming of age in the window 65-75 will be a stamp on many of us for our lives.

The Reaganites are a small generation and they will never dominate the voting.

The baby-boomlet (boomers' children) bleed at the tail end into the Bush-backlash generation.

Bush backlash, combined with Obama competency and inspiration, not to mention organization, will secure a democratic future for a long time to come.

I think one of two things happens to the Republican party: 1) They abandon the whack-jobs (religious nuts) and try to rebuild around fiscal responsibility (I think they are still going to have to have some kind of sensible economic regulation in here) and war hawks. I think this is a losing strategy. or 2) The whack-jobs take over and they simply fall off the map and become the third party in American politics while the Libertarian Party steps up to number 2 (I would like to see a true libertarian run, by the way -- but I still wouldn't for her so maybe they don't care what I think).
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Ichingcarpenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:12 AM
Response to Original message
11. Geo political interests of states affected by common and strong environmental
denominators will have an increasing political factor on partisan behavior more
than what grew out of old historic civil war sociological boundaries of the old south, new south matrix.

Environmental impact of Global Warming will implement regionalism on shared common needs such as water, energy grids, air and resources. The Mississippi River Valley States which goes from Louisiana to the northern states will be one coalition. States, west of the Great Divide another, Eastern Coastal States another etc.

I think the life of 'blue states vs red states will be coming to an end.
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anonymous171 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:18 AM
Response to Original message
12. Texas will turn blue in ten years or will at least become a swing state.
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Bryn Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 01:20 AM
Response to Original message
13. Get rid of those TV evangelists
They have "power" to brainwash weak minded people. Unfortunately, my mother is one of them. She believes in Kenneth Copeland, Benny Hinn, John Hagee...she believes that if she doesn't vote republican she'd go to hell. She believes that if she doesn't give those con men her money, she'd go to hell. She believes what they say.

This is one of major problems we have. I really really want to remove them from Tee Vee. Support your own community church with a good preacher for spiritual growth, for teaching about love, etc.
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