Pollster John Zogby: Barack Obama to be 44th U.S. President

[chat_noir]

By Sean Delaney, Press & Guide Newspapers

PUBLISHED: November 2, 2008

DEARBORN HEIGHTS/DEARBORN - Illinois Sen. Barack Obama will win Tuesday's election and become the next president of the United States, according to a recent poll conducted by Zogby International, an American market research and opinion-polling firm.

Their Reuters/C-SPAN/-Zogby Poll out Friday morning indicates the support for both candidates had solidified and remained unchanged from the previous several days. Obama was at 50.1 percent among likely voters, while McCain was at 43 percent. That put Obama outside the margin of error five days before the actual vote.

"With less than a week to go, today's numbers are not a good development for McCain," said John Zogby, founder of Zogby International. "There is no momentum for him, and the clock is starting to fun short."

Out of 1, 202 likely voters polled Oct. 27-29, Obama increased his lead among independent voters to 19 points — up from 16 points on Oct. 29 — while McCain's support among his base of Republican voters waned just slightly, dropping two points to 85 percent.

Obama's support among Democratic Party voters remained steady at 84 percent, the poll showed.

http://www.pressandguide.com/stories/110208/loc_20081102002.shtml

[quiet.american]

1. I'm not going to spend it til' I got it, but this sure makes me smile! :) nt

[cliffordu]

2. Great news!!! And, yet, Mooselini is still on my TV mangling the English language.

[SuperTrouper]

3. LMAO!! Drudge will go like Sid Vicious when he reads this.

[Kalyke]

6. He'll kill his girl... um... boyfriend in a Chelsea hotel and then

off himself six months later?

:)

[SuperTrouper]

7. I know. Sid Drudge Drama!

[my3boyz]

4. Yeah, he said Kerry was going to win too. Zogby does not know shit! I would

not trust him if he was the last pollster alive.

[Smuckies]

5. Agreed!

[ChimpersMcSmirkers]

10. No shit. We don't need this dickwad's touch of death...

[Tutonic]

17. Wouldn't that be Nirvana.....hmmmm.

[liberalpragmatist]

19. In '04, he projected Kerry 311, Bush 205

With Colorado and Virginia too close to call.

[Hope And Change]

8. This poll is from yesterday.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. No Shit And Zo(m)by Didn't Write The Headline

Sheesh...

[GoesTo11]

9. First really worrisome pollster news in a while

Zogby should just not even take polls. His numbers are crap. If he wants to be a pundant, he should just go on TV and comment on other people's polls.

[CreekDog]

11. well NOW I'm worried!

:rofl:

[jenmito]

13. But last night Zogby had McCain ahead of Obama 48%-47% in Friday's polling!

[chat_noir]

14. Zogby Poll Showing McCain Lead Interviews Fewer Democrats Than All Other Surveys

On Saturday morning, Drudge trumpeted the latest one-day finding in John Zogby's latest three-day tracking poll on the presidential race. While Zogby's three-day average still shows a 5-point lead for Barack Obama over John McCain, the pollster notes on his site today that McCain led Obama by one point, 48 to 47, in the last day of surveys.

More cautious than Drudge, however, Zogby says that it's too early to declare that McCain has made decisive gains over Obama. "If McCain has a good day tomorrow, we will eliminate Obama's good day three days ago, and we could really see some tightening in this rolling average. But for now, hold on," Zogby writes.

But as the Huffington Post reported on Thursday when discussing the latest Fox News poll, Zogby has a unique methodology in his polling. He fixes -- or "weights" -- the partisan balance of his respondents, unlike most pollsters. While his admirably transparent and stable practice guarantees a certain methodological sameness from day to day, therefore making any new lead for McCain worth reporting, Zogby's partisan weighting can also raise other questions.

Asked earlier this week what the partisan weighting of their poll currently is, a Zogby aide told the Huffington Post: "Party ID remains at 38 Democratic - 36 Republican - 26 Independent. We have added a point for 18-29 , 1.5 for African Americans, and 2 for Hispanics."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/01/zogby-poll-showing-mccain_n_139968.html



When the FReepers see the "Pollster John Zogby: Barack Obama to be 44th U.S. President", I bet they will be back to calling Zogby an Arab...that's what they do every time his poll reflects McCain as behind.

[ChiciB1]

15. C-Span Uses Zogby EVERY MORNING Now... And I HATE IT!! Why Zogby??

I remember when I counted on him.... NOW?? Not so much!! He's been lower than most polls all along!!

But if he's predicting this, it MUST mean something... OR NOT!!

Jeezzz, I'm a WRECK!! Gotta get off DU, I'm physically sick. Had lots of flu like symptoms in the past few days, but now I feel a pain in the middle of my chest. Not the middle-middle, to the left, and I KNOW what it is... ANXIETY!! I have meds for it, just want this OVER and WON!!!

[MadBadger]

18. Cuz its there poll

Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby

[crazy_vanilla]

16. 44 is a nice, even number, we'll take it nt

:smoke:

[4_Legs_Good]

20. SHHIIIIIIIIIIITTTTTT!!!

That means we lost to be sure. Zogby is always wrong.

David