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Reality check: all trackings except Zogby showed movement towards Obama today

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thesubstanceofdreams Donating Member (625 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:05 PM
Original message
Reality check: all trackings except Zogby showed movement towards Obama today
Edited on Sat Nov-01-08 12:06 PM by thesubstanceofdreams
Obama improved in Rasmussen, Tipp, Diageo (same difference but much fewer undecideds, Obama over 50%), Research2000, and Gallup.
Keep in mind Rasmussen and Gallup have by far the largest sample size, so they are less prone to large random variations (see Zomby).
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NJmaverick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:12 PM
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1. I think this is the result of he Obama infomercial
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GreenPoet64 Donating Member (897 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-01-08 12:28 PM
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2. Zogby's poll . . .
I participated in Zogby's poll. The question about how likely you would be to vote was worded strangely. I had already voted, so I wasn't sure if I should participate in the survey. I almost opted out.

Then after a moment of pause, I decided that my likelihood to vote would be 100% because I had already voted. If you've never had a statistics class, you might not answer the question that way.

In other words: the poll is probably skewed to those who have not voted.
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