ARG: Florida Obama 50, McCain 46, Indiana Obama 48, McCain 48, Pennsylvania Obama 51, McCain 45

[HughMoran]

ARG: AR, FL, IN, PA (10/28-31)By Eric Dienstfrey

American Research Group
10/28-31/08; 600 LV, 4%


Arkansas
McCain 51, Obama 44

Florida
Obama 50, McCain 46

Indiana
Obama 48, McCain 48

Pennsylvania
Obama 51, McCain 45

http://americanresearchgroup.com/

[Plausible]

1. Pennsylvanians

are getting flooded with mailings and phone calls, stuff like Obama will take your guns (big hunting state): will wreck the economy, and on and on.
I suppose some will read or hear this junk and believe it, changing the polls. On the other hand, some polls are giving Obama up to 12 points ahead in PA.
I hope my blue state will lead a landslide for Obama and Dems.

[FVZA_Colonel]

2. + 6 there is actually a bump from the +4 they had him at over a month ago.

It's also a jump in Indiana (they last had McCain at +3), and Florida (they last had Obama at +1).

[Whalestoe]

3. Obama must feel good about PA.

He's not visiting there anymore, right? I think we take PA definitely!

[dennis4868]

6. Jewish people...

in PA are getting mailers saying there will be another Holocaust if Obama is elected...I know an older jewish couple who got such trash mail and they called me asking me what this was all about and were scared....I calmed them down and they will vote for Obama...this elderly couple are holocaust survivors....McCain is an ASSHOLE scaring the shit out of people for political gain....I HATE HIM!

[dennis4868]

7. Jewish people...

in PA are getting mailers saying there will be another Holocaust if Obama is elected...I know an older jewish couple who got such trash mail and they called me asking me what this was all about and were scared....I calmed them down and they will vote for Obama...this elderly couple are holocaust survivors....McCain is an ASSHOLE scaring the shit out of people for political gain....I HATE HIM!

[Occam Bandage]

4. ARG's dice-and-dartboards methodology is only out-crazied by Zogby.

Still, nice numbers.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

5. I'm not Convinced ARG Even Calls People

~

[Errrica]

8. Yay Florida!

I would LOVE to see my state go blue. I haven't been on DU in a looong time,
but in the meantime I have volunteered for the campaign
AND saw Joe Biden!
It's been a good last couple of weeks, now only three more days!
I'm so excited :) And I saw a commercial the other day that my county is doing paper ballots.
We ain't screwing up thiiis time.

[HughMoran]

9. Yep, the FL number looks great!

People are obsessing over PA even though we know Obama will win PA, but the FL and even the Indiana numbers are pretty good. Heck, only down 7 in Arkansas? Whaaa??

[AndyTiedye]

10. We Are Worried about PA Because It Has DRE (Diebold Republican Electing) Voting Machinez

which means they can steal it.

They would also have to steal Florida and Ohio again (not all that unlikely)
and Colorado (which they are trying to do with a huge voter purge in defiance of the courts)
and North Carolina (which is still close enough to steal).

That's a lot of votes they have to steal, but it is not impossible that they could do it.